GE Aerospace (GE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.05), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, GE sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.05-0.13 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.05 | -0.13 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.42% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.58% | +0.45pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Next ex-dividend
The company has not declared a dividend, and we don't have enough recent history to extrapolate a reliable estimate.
GE Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for GE Aerospace (GE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.47 | -1.00% | $323.11 | 2 | yes | yes | -12.63% | -5.77% | |
| Q4 | $0.36 | -0.57% | $315.14 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.31% | +4.05% | |
| Q3 | $0.36 | 0.47% | $294.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.80% | +1.22% | |
| Q3 | $0.36 | 0.26% | $246.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.43% | +6.41% | |
| Q1 | $0.36 | -2.40% | $193.85 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.06% | +4.41% | |
| Q4 | $0.28 | -0.83% | $172.15 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.57% | +0.34% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | 0.04% | $189.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.30% | -2.73% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | -0.31% | $165.70 | 9 | no | yes | -5.60% | -4.00% | |
| Q2 | $0.28 | -1.13% | $157.68 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.91% | -5.92% | |
| Q4 | $0.08 | -0.44% | $101.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.00% | -2.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | -0.48% | $88.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.79% | -2.13% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | 0.13% | $86.35 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.09% | +2.74% | |
| Q1 | $0.08 | 0.30% | $68.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.36% | +3.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.08 | -0.60% | $51.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.46% | +0.27% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | -0.02% | $40.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.13% | -1.27% | |
| Q2 | $0.08 | 0.57% | $41.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.66% | -7.35% | |
| Q1 | $0.08 | -0.54% | $55.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.33% | +3.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.08 | -1.58% | $56.91 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.58% | +4.36% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | -0.30% | $64.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.87% | +2.90% | |
| Q2 | $0.01 | 0.08% | $65.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.11% | +1.62% |
- -5.77%
- +4.05%
- +1.22%
- +6.41%
- +4.41%
- +0.34%
- -2.73%
- -4.00%
- -5.92%
- -2.12%
- -2.13%
- +2.74%
- +3.12%
- +0.27%
- -1.27%
- -7.35%
- +3.86%
- +4.36%
- +2.90%
- +1.62%
GE Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
GE Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with GE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $94.00
- After-tax dividend
- $61.10
- Slippage round-trip
- -$64.62
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-3.52
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.01%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.01%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-0.3%
GE Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical GE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · GE (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.02% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.18% | |
| -4.00% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.15% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.