GILD dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Gilead Sciences (GILD) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.46), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, GILD sits roughly in line with the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 14, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.46
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.46 | +0.31 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.65% | -0.32pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.79% | +0.52pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 12 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$0.82
Per-event yield
0.65%
Annualized yield
2.59%
Previously paid
Jun 15, 2026 ($0.82)
Last record date
Jun 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 29, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Gilead Sciences (GILD). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.82 | -0.24% | $125.59 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.52% | +0.22% | |
| Q1 | $0.82 | 1.13% | $145.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.04% | -4.94% | |
| Q4 | $0.79 | 1.33% | $120.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.85% | +3.78% | |
| Q3 | $0.79 | -0.77% | $114.55 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.84% | -1.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.79 | -1.37% | $112.05 | 12 | no | yes | -6.77% | -4.52% | |
| Q1 | $0.79 | -0.41% | $113.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.63% | -4.83% | |
| Q4 | $0.77 | -0.78% | $92.38 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.50% | +1.04% | |
| Q3 | $0.77 | -1.46% | $83.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.91% | +1.86% | |
| Q2 | $0.77 | -1.27% | $63.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.37% | +12.49% | |
| Q1 | $0.77 | -1.61% | $75.94 | >30 | no | no | -5.04% | -2.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | -0.83% | $83.09 | 12 | no | yes | -5.50% | -4.10% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | -0.67% | $77.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.83% | -1.67% | |
| Q2 | $0.75 | -0.52% | $78.45 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.45% | +0.52% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | -0.60% | $79.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.75% | +0.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.73 | -0.85% | $88.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.82% | -3.10% | |
| Q3 | $0.73 | -1.06% | $65.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.50% | -1.34% | |
| Q2 | $0.73 | -1.32% | $59.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.35% | +5.22% | |
| Q1 | $0.73 | -0.16% | $58.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.40% | +4.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.71 | -1.05% | $70.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.20% | +2.75% | |
| Q3 | $0.71 | -0.53% | $71.15 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.46% | +1.81% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with GILD's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical GILD ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.21%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
+4.17%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+96.09%
Best event
+1.26%
Worst event
-4.52%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · GILD (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.00% | |
| +1.01% | |
| +1.26% | |
| +1.23% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +0.97% | |
| -4.10% | |
| -2.74% | |
| +1.21% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.70% | |
| -4.52% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.65% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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