GS dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Goldman Sachs (GS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.29), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, GS sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 1, 2026, with an expected dividend of $5.00.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.29
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.29 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.66% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.99% | +0.41pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$5.00
Per-event yield
0.49%
Annualized yield
1.75%
Previously paid
Jun 1, 2026 ($4.50)
Last record date
Jun 1, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 29, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Goldman Sachs (GS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $4.50 | -1.00% | $1,025.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.49% | +2.33% | |
| Q1 | $4.50 | -2.28% | $859.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.20% | -2.68% | |
| Q4 | $4.00 | 0.03% | $810.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.32% | +8.60% | |
| Q3 | $4.00 | -0.60% | $751.22 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.00% | -0.71% | |
| Q2 | $3.00 | -0.80% | $604.86 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.10% | +2.01% | |
| Q1 | $3.00 | -0.03% | $608.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.46% | -7.46% | |
| Q4 | $3.00 | -0.09% | $608.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.08% | -1.88% | |
| Q3 | $3.00 | -0.45% | $510.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.32% | -3.63% | |
| Q2 | $2.75 | -0.91% | $457.17 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.02% | +0.80% | |
| Q1 | $2.75 | -0.93% | $390.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.40% | +0.39% | |
| Q4 | $2.75 | -0.19% | $337.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.34% | +2.09% | |
| Q3 | $2.75 | -0.77% | $332.55 | 9 | no | yes | -3.98% | -2.36% | |
| Q2 | $2.50 | -1.44% | $330.83 | 6 | no | yes | -5.08% | +2.24% | |
| Q1 | $2.50 | -0.64% | $351.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.55% | +0.04% | |
| Q4 | $2.50 | -0.32% | $383.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.21% | -5.55% | |
| Q3 | $2.50 | -0.62% | $333.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.11% | +1.27% | |
| Q2 | $2.00 | -1.39% | $328.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -15.30% | -1.54% | |
| Q1 | $2.00 | -1.14% | $341.29 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.66% | -5.25% | |
| Q4 | $2.00 | 0.74% | $380.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.30% | +4.81% | |
| Q3 | $2.00 | -0.36% | $413.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.62% | -1.60% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with GS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical GS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.52%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+10.38%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+167.55%
Best event
+2.24%
Worst event
-2.36%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · GS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.48% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +2.24% | |
| -2.36% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.44% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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