Stock price
$131.33
TTM EPS
$14.22
P/E (TTM)
10.20
Net debt
$4.2B
Beta
0.48
Valuation context
How today's valuation compares to its own 5-year history.
Where today's P/E sits versus its trailing five-year median.
HIG-PG's P/E sits within ±10% of its trailing 5-year median — broadly in line with its own history.
Scenario calculator
Enter EPS growth and exit P/E per scenario. The chart starts at the current share price (Now) and transitions the P/E from today's trailing multiple toward your Exit P/E over the horizon. Same live price and TTM EPS as the rest of the page.
Base case: with about a 0% decline per year and a 10× exit multiple over 5 years, the model lands HIG-PG near $144.20 — an implied about a 1.9% CAGR.
Your base case implies a $145.89 12-month target. Save it to join the community consensus.
Implied price path (by year)
Paths start at $131.33 (Now); the P/E transitions from today's trailing multiple toward Exit P/E by the horizon year.
At horizon (2031)
| Scenario | Price | Total return | CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | $122.48 | -6.7% | -1.4% |
| Base | $144.20 | +9.8% | +1.9% |
| Bull | $159.37 | +21.4% | +3.9% |
- Bear$122.48
- Base$144.20
- Bull$159.37
Sensitivity (base case)
Sensitivity grid — sweeps EPS growth and exit P/E around your base inputs. Simple mode only; bear, bull, and Advanced (revenue) paths are not included.
Implied share price at the horizon for each combination: EPS growth in the rows, exit P/E in the columns; other settings stay fixed.
| Row axis: EPS growth. Column axis: exit P/E.Exit P/E →↓ EPS growth | 1× | 5× | 10× | 15× | 20× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | $8 | $44 | $85 | $126 | $168 |
| -5% | $11 | $57 | $111 | $166 | $220 |
| -0% | $14 | $74 | $144 | $214 | $284 |
| 5% | $18 | $95 | $184 | $274 | $363 |
| 10% | $23 | $120 | $233 | $346 | $459 |
Shade depth: darker fill within the same color band means a higher implied price in that cell (across the grid).
Annual diluted EPS
GAAP diluted EPS by fiscal year — use as context for growth assumptions above, not a forecast. Across 14 fiscal years, diluted EPS went from about $-0.08 in 2012 to about $13.32 in 2025.
Diluted EPS year-over-year change
Percent change vs the previous fiscal year. If a fiscal year is missing, the comparison is to the prior available year. Year-over-year EPS change in this window ranged from a high of +203.5% to a low of -472.2%.
Your EPS growth vs next-year analyst consensus
Same basis for every column: one-step implied EPS growth (next-year average estimate vs TTM). Consensus uses 1 EPS estimate. Δ (pts) is your growth minus consensus in percentage points, not "percent of consensus."
The Hartford (HIG-PG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Relative valuation
How HIG-PG trades versus its Financial Services peers and its own history. Lower multiples are cheaper; the band marks where each multiple sits between its 5-year low (left) and high (right).
| Multiple | HIG-PG | Peer median | Sector median | vs own 5-yr range | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 18.0× | 12.8× | — | No signal |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 11.5× | 8.7× | — | No signal |
| P/S (TTM) | — | 4.3× | 2.2× | — | No signal |
- P/E (TTM)—No signal
- EV/EBITDA—No signal
- P/S (TTM)—No signal
Peers in the Financial Services sector
Compare HIG-PG against its Financial Services peers on the three core multiples. Lower is cheaper; tap a column to rank the peer set. Open any peer's price target page for its full scenario breakdown. Filtered to active common stock, excluding ETFs and funds.
| 14.3× | 10.4× | 2.8× | $1.06T | |
| 26.0× | 20.8× | 13.4× | $629.64B | |
| 28.6× | 21.5× | 13.1× | $431.25B | |
| 11.2× | 11.5× | 2.0× | $410.96B | |
| 14.2× | — | 2.2× | $356.51B | |
| 14.2× | 40.1× | 2.3× | $322.87B | |
| — | — | — | $247.39B | |
| 18.5× | 11.3× | 2.5× | $230.48B | |
| — | — | — | $177.20B | |
| 23.9× | 15.2× | 5.8× | $163.27B | |
| 111.6× | 9.5× | 10.9× | $162.87B | |
| 17.4× | 9.6× | 5.8× | $162.04B |
- $629.64B
- $431.25B
- $410.96B
- $356.51B
- $322.87B
- $230.48B
- $163.27B
- $162.87B
- $162.04B
About the HIG-PG price target calculator
The HIG-PG price target calculator projects a future share price by compounding trailing twelve-month earnings per share at an assumed growth rate and applying an exit P/E multiple at the end of the horizon. The stock currently trades at about $131.33, a P/E of roughly 10.2× on TTM EPS of $14.22.
1 analyst covers HIG-PG for the next fiscal year, with EPS estimates ranging from $12.27 to $13.21 and a consensus average of $12.86. Versus the latest TTM EPS of about $14.22, that consensus implies roughly a 9.5% decline next year. That sits a notable shift from the trailing 5-year EPS history of 22.9% growth per year — one useful sanity check on whether consensus is anchored to history or expecting a regime change.
Frequently asked questions
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