Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what HSIC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$57.79
Method range
$24.40 – $112.63
median $71.61
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $57.79 | -25.39% |
| Exit multiple | $112.63 | +45.43% |
| Analyst target | $85.43 | +10.30% |
| Graham number | $24.40 | -68.50% |
- Forward DCF$57.79
- Exit multiple$112.63
- Analyst target$85.43
- Graham number$24.40
Stock price
$77.45
EPS (TTM)
$3.31
5Y EPS CAGR
3.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$57.79
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
7.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -34.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
3.2%
Your model implies
7.0%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 61.5% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | -0.4% |
| 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
| 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.38
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$3.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.82
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Henry Schein (HSIC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation