Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what HSIC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$57.50
Method range
$24.40 – $112.83
median $72.32
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $57.50 | -32.20% |
| Exit multiple | $112.83 | +33.03% |
| Analyst target | $87.13 | +2.74% |
| Graham number | $24.40 | -71.23% |
- Forward DCF$57.50
- Exit multiple$112.83
- Analyst target$87.13
- Graham number$24.40
Stock price
$84.81
EPS (TTM)
$3.31
5Y EPS CAGR
3.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$57.50
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
8.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -47.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
3.2%
Your model implies
8.2%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 61.5% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| 10.7% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.38
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$3.53B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.81
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Henry Schein (HSIC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.