Interactive Brokers (IBKR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.21), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, IBKR sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 31, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.21-0.09 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.21 | -0.09 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.37% | +0.21pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.44% | -1.07pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 22 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
| Dividend | $0.09 |
| Per-event yield | 0.12% |
| Annualized yield | 0.37% |
| Previously paid | Feb 27, 2026 ($0.08) |
| Last record date | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 13, 2026 |
IBKR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Interactive Brokers (IBKR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.08 | -2.55% | $74.56 | >30 | no | no | -14.85% | -10.43% | |
| Q4 | $0.08 | -1.23% | $65.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.41% | +1.34% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | -0.48% | $62.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.52% | -2.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.32 | -0.71% | $52.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.08% | +1.82% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.49% | $50.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -21.86% | -5.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | 0.48% | $47.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.15% | -1.76% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | 0.03% | $31.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.54% | -1.45% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.03% | $31.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.24% | -2.20% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | 0.37% | $27.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.80% | +0.92% | |
| Q4 | $0.10 | 0.47% | $19.20 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.10% | +5.73% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | 0.00% | $22.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.44% | +5.14% | |
| Q2 | $0.10 | -0.66% | $19.74 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.89% | +2.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | 0.42% | $21.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.91% | +3.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.10 | 0.25% | $19.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.28% | -4.11% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | 1.32% | $15.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.98% | +11.26% | |
| Q2 | $0.10 | -0.39% | $15.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.48% | -0.33% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | -2.63% | $17.14 | 22 | no | yes | -16.92% | -16.10% | |
| Q4 | $0.10 | -1.33% | $18.84 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.28% | +2.39% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | 0.12% | $16.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.34% | -1.55% | |
| Q2 | $0.10 | 0.12% | $16.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.35% | +0.54% |
- -10.43%
- +1.34%
- -2.53%
- +1.82%
- -5.09%
- -1.76%
- -1.45%
- -2.20%
- +0.92%
- +5.73%
- +5.14%
- +2.58%
- +3.06%
- -4.11%
- +11.26%
- -0.33%
- -16.10%
- +2.39%
- -1.55%
- +0.54%
IBKR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
IBKR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with IBKR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $18.00
- After-tax dividend
- $11.70
- Slippage round-trip
- -$14.91
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-3.21
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.02%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.02%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-1.1%
IBKR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical IBKR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · IBKR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.60% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.53% | |
| -16.10% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.12% | |
| -10.43% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.