Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ISRG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$363.59
Method range
$51.59 – $682.57
median $444.29
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $363.59 | +6.72% |
| Exit multiple | $682.57 | +100.35% |
| Analyst target | $525.00 | +54.10% |
| Graham number | $51.59 | -84.86% |
- Forward DCF$363.59
- Exit multiple$682.57
- Analyst target$525.00
- Graham number$51.59
Stock price
$340.69
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.68
3Y FCF CAGR
9.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$47.47
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
38.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -617.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
9.7%
Your model implies
38.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 10% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0% | 34.7% | 34.0% | 33.3% | 32.5% | 31.6% |
| 11.0% | 37.1% | 36.5% | 35.9% | 35.2% | 34.4% |
| 12.0% | 39.4% | 38.9% | 38.3% | 37.6% | 37.0% |
| 13.0% | 41.6% | 41.1% | 40.6% | 40.0% | 39.4% |
| 14.0% | 43.8% | 43.3% | 42.8% | 42.3% | 41.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
98.99
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$3.07B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.46
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.