Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ISRG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$335.37
Method range
$50.64 – $661.43
median $469.19
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $335.37 | -20.54% |
| Exit multiple | $661.43 | +56.72% |
| Analyst target | $603.00 | +42.87% |
| Graham number | $50.64 | -88.00% |
- Forward DCF$335.37
- Exit multiple$661.43
- Analyst target$603.00
- Graham number$50.64
Stock price
$422.06
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.28
3Y FCF CAGR
9.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$39.82
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
44.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -959.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
9.7%
Your model implies
44.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 10% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.1% | 40.6% | 39.9% | 39.1% | 38.3% | 37.4% |
| 11.1% | 43.1% | 42.5% | 41.8% | 41.1% | 40.3% |
| 12.1% | 45.5% | 44.9% | 44.3% | 43.7% | 43.0% |
| 13.1% | 47.8% | 47.3% | 46.7% | 46.1% | 45.5% |
| 14.1% | 50.1% | 49.6% | 49.0% | 48.5% | 47.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
15.93
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$3.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.51
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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