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Fair Value for Lyft (LYFT)

See growth priced into Lyft (LYFT): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

FCF / share

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what LYFT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$0.56

Above fair value
-2,517.69% vs current price $14.66

Method range

$0.56 $60.67

median $10.21

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$0.56
  • Exit multiple$60.67
  • Analyst target$17.92
  • Graham number$2.49

Stock price

$14.66

FCF / share (TTM)

$0.73

3Y FCF CAGR

Fair value @ hist. growth

$9.52

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

14.5%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -53.9% vs hist-growth DCF

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)13.7%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)8%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
11.7%11.8%11.4%11.0%10.6%10.1%
12.7%13.5%13.2%12.8%12.4%11.9%
13.7%15.1%14.8%14.5%14.1%13.7%
14.7%16.7%16.4%16.1%15.7%15.4%
15.0%17.2%16.9%16.6%16.2%15.9%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday2.8· at low
5Y low2.8
Median117.2
5Y high231.6
P/SToday1.3
5Y low0.9
Median1.3
5Y high4.5
EV/EBITDAToday78.9· at high
5Y low28.0
Median53.4
5Y high78.9

Net debt

$145M

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.81

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions

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