Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what LYV is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
—
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | — | — |
| Exit multiple | — | — |
| Analyst target | $183.88 | +14.87% |
| Graham number | $9.70 | -93.94% |
- Forward DCF—
- Exit multiple—
- Analyst target$183.88
- Graham number$9.70
Stock price
$160.07
FCF / share (TTM)
$8.73
3Y FCF CAGR
-33.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$13.83
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
6.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1057.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-33.7%
Your model implies
6.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -34% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% |
| 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$5.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.12
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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