Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MHK is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$54.33
Method range
$54.33 – $142.41
median $99.19
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $54.33 | -50.79% |
| Exit multiple | $142.41 | +28.99% |
| Analyst target | $121.88 | +10.39% |
| Graham number | $76.51 | -30.71% |
- Forward DCF$54.33
- Exit multiple$142.41
- Analyst target$121.88
- Graham number$76.51
Stock price
$110.41
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.13
3Y FCF CAGR
1.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.55
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
65.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -7,043.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
1.9%
Your model implies
65.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 2% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.6% | 60.6% | 59.5% | 58.4% | 57.1% | 55.7% |
| 9.6% | 63.9% | 62.9% | 61.9% | 60.8% | 59.7% |
| 10.6% | 67.0% | 66.1% | 65.2% | 64.3% | 63.3% |
| 11.6% | 69.9% | 69.2% | 68.4% | 67.5% | 66.6% |
| 12.6% | 72.8% | 72.1% | 71.3% | 70.6% | 69.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.07
Low vs growth
Net debt
$1.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.18
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Mohawk Industries (MHK) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.