Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MHK is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$54.21
Method range
$54.21 – $142.38
median $100.21
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $54.21 | -47.29% |
| Exit multiple | $142.38 | +38.42% |
| Analyst target | $123.89 | +20.45% |
| Graham number | $76.53 | -25.60% |
- Forward DCF$54.21
- Exit multiple$142.38
- Analyst target$123.89
- Graham number$76.53
Stock price
$102.86
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.13
3Y FCF CAGR
1.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.54
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
64.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -6570.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
1.9%
Your model implies
64.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 2% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.6% | 59.5% | 58.4% | 57.3% | 56.0% | 54.7% |
| 9.6% | 62.7% | 61.8% | 60.8% | 59.7% | 58.6% |
| 10.6% | 65.8% | 65.0% | 64.1% | 63.2% | 62.1% |
| 11.6% | 68.8% | 68.0% | 67.2% | 66.3% | 65.4% |
| 12.6% | 71.6% | 70.9% | 70.1% | 69.4% | 68.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.07
Low vs growth
Net debt
$1.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.21
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Mohawk Industries (MHK) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation