Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MSCI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$623.62
Method range
$623.62 – $758.39
median $698.00
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $623.62 | +9.22% |
| Exit multiple | $758.39 | +32.83% |
| Analyst target | $698.00 | +22.25% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$623.62
- Exit multiple$758.39
- Analyst target$698.00
- Graham number—
Stock price
$570.95
FCF / share (TTM)
$5.28
3Y FCF CAGR
17.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$186.77
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
33.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -205.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
17.3%
Your model implies
33.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 17% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.9% | 29.6% | 28.8% | 28.0% | 27.1% | 26.1% |
| 9.9% | 32.1% | 31.4% | 30.7% | 29.9% | 29.1% |
| 10.9% | 34.5% | 33.9% | 33.2% | 32.5% | 31.8% |
| 11.9% | 36.7% | 36.2% | 35.6% | 35.0% | 34.3% |
| 12.9% | 38.9% | 38.4% | 37.8% | 37.3% | 36.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$5.82B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.24
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
MSCI (MSCI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.