Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MSCI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$610.51
Method range
$610.51 – $756.10
median $688.00
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $610.51 | -0.80% |
| Exit multiple | $756.10 | +22.85% |
| Analyst target | $688.00 | +11.79% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$610.51
- Exit multiple$756.10
- Analyst target$688.00
- Graham number—
Stock price
$615.46
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.79
3Y FCF CAGR
17.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$137.12
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
38.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -348.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
17.3%
Your model implies
38.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 17% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | 35.0% | 34.2% | 33.3% | 32.3% | 31.2% |
| 9.7% | 37.7% | 37.0% | 36.2% | 35.3% | 34.4% |
| 10.7% | 40.2% | 39.5% | 38.8% | 38.1% | 37.3% |
| 11.7% | 42.6% | 42.0% | 41.4% | 40.7% | 40.0% |
| 12.7% | 44.9% | 44.3% | 43.8% | 43.2% | 42.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.49
Low vs growth
Net debt
$5.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.24
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
MSCI (MSCI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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