NEE dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
NextEra Energy (NEE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.31), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, NEE sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 28, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.62.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.31
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.31 | -0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.57% | +0.11pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.54% | +1.21pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 20 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.62
Per-event yield
0.73%
Annualized yield
2.81%
Previously paid
Jun 5, 2026 ($0.62)
Last record date
Jun 5, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for NextEra Energy (NEE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.62 | -0.70% | $85.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.68% | +1.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.62 | -1.18% | $91.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.54% | -0.38% | |
| Q4 | $0.57 | -0.14% | $84.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.16% | +1.09% | |
| Q3 | $0.57 | -0.85% | $73.89 | 20 | no | yes | -6.29% | -3.28% | |
| Q2 | $0.57 | -1.26% | $70.64 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.27% | +2.59% | |
| Q1 | $0.57 | 0.30% | $69.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.52% | +5.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.52 | -0.17% | $77.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.15% | +0.29% | |
| Q3 | $0.52 | -0.55% | $80.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.96% | +2.09% | |
| Q2 | $0.52 | -0.65% | $80.02 | >30 | no | no | -10.77% | -3.17% | |
| Q1 | $0.52 | -1.55% | $56.78 | 8 | no | yes | -4.98% | -2.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.47 | 0.00% | $57.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.91% | +1.72% | |
| Q3 | $0.47 | -0.35% | $68.02 | 10 | no | yes | -3.91% | -2.74% | |
| Q2 | $0.47 | -0.35% | $73.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.06% | +0.91% | |
| Q1 | $0.47 | 0.07% | $72.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.50% | +2.67% | |
| Q4 | $0.43 | -0.68% | $84.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.53% | +1.36% | |
| Q3 | $0.43 | -1.23% | $88.06 | 6 | no | yes | -3.80% | -0.30% | |
| Q2 | $0.43 | -0.73% | $75.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.16% | +7.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.43 | -0.09% | $77.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.87% | +9.65% | |
| Q4 | $0.39 | -0.80% | $87.31 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.66% | +1.94% | |
| Q3 | $0.39 | -0.50% | $84.53 | 5 | yes | yes | -1.80% | +2.76% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with NEE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical NEE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.11%
Win rate (20 trades)
75%
Cumulative P&L
-2.16%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+13.28%
Best event
+0.82%
Worst event
-3.28%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · NEE (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.46% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.57% | |
| -0.30% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.64% | |
| -2.74% | |
| +0.81% | |
| -2.28% | |
| -3.17% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.80% | |
| -3.28% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.73% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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