Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PANW is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$857.58
Method range
$13.75 – $857.58
median $347.56
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $857.58 | +155.78% |
| Exit multiple | $350.77 | +4.62% |
| Analyst target | $344.34 | +2.70% |
| Graham number | $13.75 | -95.90% |
- Forward DCF$857.58
- Exit multiple$350.77
- Analyst target$344.34
- Graham number$13.75
Stock price
$335.28
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.08
3Y FCF CAGR
19.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$59.01
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
44.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -468.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
19.5%
Your model implies
44.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 20% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 39.8% | 38.7% | 37.4% | 36.0% | 34.4% |
| 8.2% | 43.1% | 42.1% | 41.0% | 39.9% | 38.6% |
| 9.2% | 46.1% | 45.2% | 44.3% | 43.3% | 42.2% |
| 10.2% | 48.9% | 48.1% | 47.3% | 46.4% | 45.5% |
| 11.2% | 51.6% | 50.9% | 50.1% | 49.3% | 48.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.05
Fair vs growth
Net cash
$1.93B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.91
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.