Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PANW is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$848.56
Method range
$13.75 – $848.56
median $337.32
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $848.56 | +211.91% |
| Exit multiple | $349.85 | +28.60% |
| Analyst target | $324.79 | +19.39% |
| Graham number | $13.75 | -94.95% |
- Forward DCF$848.56
- Exit multiple$349.85
- Analyst target$324.79
- Graham number$13.75
Stock price
$272.05
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.08
3Y FCF CAGR
19.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$58.48
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
41.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -365.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
19.5%
Your model implies
41.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 20% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3% | 37.0% | 35.8% | 34.6% | 33.3% | 31.7% |
| 8.3% | 40.1% | 39.2% | 38.1% | 37.0% | 35.8% |
| 9.3% | 43.0% | 42.2% | 41.3% | 40.3% | 39.3% |
| 10.3% | 45.8% | 45.0% | 44.2% | 43.4% | 42.5% |
| 11.3% | 48.3% | 47.7% | 47.0% | 46.2% | 45.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.25
Fair vs growth
Net cash
$1.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.94
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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