Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PLTR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$52,204.44
Method range
$5.37 – $52,204.44
median $259.36
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $52,204.44 | +41,807.72% |
| Exit multiple | $333.36 | +167.61% |
| Analyst target | $185.36 | +48.80% |
| Graham number | $5.37 | -95.69% |
- Forward DCF$52,204.44
- Exit multiple$333.36
- Analyst target$185.36
- Graham number$5.37
Stock price
$124.57
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.37
3Y FCF CAGR
48.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$86.39
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
54.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -44.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
48.8%
Your model implies
54.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 49% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5% | 50.8% | 50.1% | 49.3% | 48.4% | 47.5% |
| 11.5% | 53.5% | 52.8% | 52.1% | 51.3% | 50.5% |
| 12.5% | 56.0% | 55.4% | 54.7% | 54.0% | 53.3% |
| 13.5% | 58.5% | 57.9% | 57.3% | 56.6% | 56.0% |
| 14.5% | 60.8% | 60.3% | 59.7% | 59.1% | 58.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.64
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$1.19B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.56
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Palantir (PLTR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.