Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PODD is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$30,692.54
Method range
$23.35 – $30,692.54
median $351.61
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $30,692.54 | +19,931.68% |
| Exit multiple | $476.22 | +210.81% |
| Analyst target | $227.00 | +48.15% |
| Graham number | $23.35 | -84.76% |
- Forward DCF$30,692.54
- Exit multiple$476.22
- Analyst target$227.00
- Graham number$23.35
Stock price
$153.22
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.23
3Y FCF CAGR
134.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$36378.84
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
33.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
134.9%
Your model implies
33.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 135% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 6.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | 29.7% | 28.9% | 27.9% | 26.9% | 25.7% |
| 9.2% | 32.4% | 31.7% | 30.8% | 30.0% | 29.0% |
| 10.2% | 34.9% | 34.2% | 33.5% | 32.8% | 31.9% |
| 11.2% | 37.3% | 36.7% | 36.0% | 35.4% | 34.6% |
| 12.2% | 39.6% | 39.0% | 38.4% | 37.8% | 37.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$335M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.13
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Insulet (PODD) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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