Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PODD is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$30,385.82
Method range
$23.35 – $30,385.82
median $345.17
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $30,385.82 | +19,019.00% |
| Exit multiple | $475.90 | +199.44% |
| Analyst target | $214.43 | +34.92% |
| Graham number | $23.35 | -85.31% |
- Forward DCF$30,385.82
- Exit multiple$475.90
- Analyst target$214.43
- Graham number$23.35
Stock price
$158.93
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.23
3Y FCF CAGR
134.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$36,010.50
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
34.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
134.9%
Your model implies
34.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 135% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 6.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | 30.4% | 29.5% | 28.6% | 27.5% | 26.4% |
| 9.2% | 33.1% | 32.3% | 31.5% | 30.6% | 29.7% |
| 10.2% | 35.6% | 34.9% | 34.2% | 33.4% | 32.6% |
| 11.2% | 38.0% | 37.4% | 36.7% | 36.0% | 35.3% |
| 12.2% | 40.2% | 39.7% | 39.1% | 38.5% | 37.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$335M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.11
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Insulet (PODD) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.