PPL dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
PPL (PPL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.53), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, PPL sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 9, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.53
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.53 | +0.07 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.64% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.23% | +1.52pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 25 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.29
Per-event yield
0.80%
Annualized yield
3.13%
Previously paid
Jun 10, 2026 ($0.29)
Last record date
Jun 10, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 1, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for PPL (PPL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.29 | -0.14% | $35.75 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.93% | -0.38% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | -1.15% | $38.31 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.65% | +1.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.53% | $33.80 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.86% | +2.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.87% | $35.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.46% | +0.43% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.68% | $33.92 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.86% | -0.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.76% | $34.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +3.97% | |
| Q4 | $0.26 | -0.84% | $33.15 | 25 | no | yes | -4.92% | -1.91% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | -0.68% | $32.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.50% | +0.67% | |
| Q2 | $0.26 | -1.06% | $28.41 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.29% | -0.85% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | -0.04% | $26.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.75% | -0.05% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -0.68% | $26.33 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.16% | +3.61% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -0.25% | $24.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.70% | +6.23% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | -1.11% | $27.00 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.63% | +0.93% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | -0.63% | $27.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.81% | +1.63% | |
| Q4 | $0.23 | -0.79% | $28.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.97% | +2.09% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -1.12% | $29.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.99% | -1.64% | |
| Q2 | $0.23 | -1.17% | $25.74 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.95% | +7.17% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | 2.13% | $26.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.18% | +2.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | -1.17% | $29.17 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.61% | +2.49% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -1.31% | $30.46 | >30 | no | no | -6.99% | -3.10% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 7 | 35% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with PPL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical PPL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.53%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+10.63%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+34.39%
Best event
+1.42%
Worst event
-3.10%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · PPL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -3.10% | |
| +1.42% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +0.79% | |
| -1.91% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.80% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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