Paramount Skydance (PSKY) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.16), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, PSKY sits roughly in line with the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 14, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.16-0.10 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.16 | -0.10 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.35% | +0.13pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 35% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -6.80% | -2.04pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 10 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
| Dividend | $0.05 |
| Per-event yield | 0.51% |
| Annualized yield | 1.91% |
| Previously paid | Mar 16, 2026 ($0.05) |
| Last record date | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 1, 2026 |
PSKY Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Paramount Skydance (PSKY). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.05 | -1.03% | $9.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.32% | -5.45% | |
| Q4 | $0.05 | 0.08% | $13.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.76% | +4.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.05 | 0.05% | $18.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.13% | -0.69% | |
| Q2 | $0.05 | 0.76% | $11.89 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.08% | +4.29% | |
| Q1 | $0.05 | 0.51% | $11.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.28% | +0.00% | |
| Q4 | $0.05 | -2.40% | $11.65 | >30 | no | no | -12.36% | -6.44% | |
| Q3 | $0.05 | 1.23% | $10.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.69% | -1.32% | |
| Q2 | $0.05 | -1.83% | $10.38 | 10 | no | yes | -8.00% | -1.35% | |
| Q1 | $0.05 | 0.35% | $11.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.80% | +9.75% | |
| Q4 | $0.05 | 2.73% | $15.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.79% | +1.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.05 | -3.95% | $13.92 | 3 | yes | yes | -10.27% | -3.59% | |
| Q2 | $0.05 | 0.73% | $16.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.97% | -4.48% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | 0.35% | $20.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.25% | +4.60% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -3.03% | $19.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -18.96% | -13.67% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -0.75% | $22.53 | 2 | yes | yes | -14.47% | -3.95% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | 0.12% | $25.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.21% | -4.38% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | 1.23% | $32.62 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.71% | +12.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -1.48% | $30.33 | 8 | no | yes | -6.73% | -2.44% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -0.37% | $40.37 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.57% | -3.64% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | -0.50% | $42.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.87% | -2.72% |
- -5.45%
- +4.12%
- -0.69%
- +4.29%
- +0.00%
- -6.44%
- -1.32%
- -1.35%
- +9.75%
- +1.30%
- -3.59%
- -4.48%
- +4.60%
- -13.67%
- -3.95%
- -4.38%
- +12.32%
- -2.44%
- -3.64%
- -2.72%
PSKY Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
PSKY Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with PSKY's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $10.00
- After-tax dividend
- $6.50
- Slippage round-trip
- -$1.94
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$4.56
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.23%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~11.8%
PSKY Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical PSKY ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · PSKY (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.57% | |
| +0.59% | |
| -2.44% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +1.07% | |
| +1.21% | |
| +1.20% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.43% | |
| -1.35% | |
| +0.47% | |
| -6.44% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.51% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.