RPM International (RPM) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.19), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, RPM sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Jul 15, 2026 (±3 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.19in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.19 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.29% | +0.13pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.59% | +1.12pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 3 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±3 days.
| Dividend | $0.54 |
| Per-event yield | 0.51% |
| Annualized yield | 2.02% |
| Previously paid | Apr 16, 2026 ($0.54) |
| Last record date | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 30, 2026 |
RPM Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for RPM International (RPM). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.54 | 0.25% | $105.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.38% | +0.52% | |
| Q1 | $0.54 | -1.18% | $112.37 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.39% | -3.66% | |
| Q4 | $0.54 | -0.38% | $112.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.14% | -0.04% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.20% | $112.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.34% | -0.28% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | 0.03% | $103.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.15% | +1.73% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | 0.55% | $126.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.58% | +1.65% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | 0.18% | $133.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.99% | -3.44% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -0.69% | $115.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.36% | -3.63% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | 0.53% | $107.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.31% | -0.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | 0.12% | $107.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.28% | +0.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -1.32% | $97.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.72% | -5.42% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -0.32% | $91.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.28% | +1.20% | |
| Q2 | $0.42 | 0.33% | $82.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.31% | +1.56% | |
| Q1 | $0.42 | -1.00% | $85.66 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.45% | +2.60% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | 0.05% | $92.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.73% | -3.29% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -1.94% | $81.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.17% | +6.86% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -0.37% | $85.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.84% | +2.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -0.29% | $92.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.40% | -3.60% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | 0.07% | $82.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.53% | +7.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | -0.15% | $88.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.86% | -1.62% |
- +0.52%
- -3.66%
- -0.04%
- -0.28%
- +1.73%
- +1.65%
- -3.44%
- -3.63%
- -0.01%
- +0.27%
- -5.42%
- +1.20%
- +1.56%
- +2.60%
- -3.29%
- +6.86%
- +2.43%
- -3.60%
- +7.38%
- -1.62%
RPM Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
RPM Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with RPM's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $108.00
- After-tax dividend
- $70.20
- Slippage round-trip
- -$21.14
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$49.06
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.23%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~11.7%
RPM Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical RPM ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · RPM (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.43% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.51% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.