Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what RUN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2.29
Method range
$2.29 – $32.16
median $16.50
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $24.65 | +84.48% |
| Exit multiple | $32.16 | +140.73% |
| Analyst target | $17.86 | +33.68% |
| Graham number | $15.13 | +13.27% |
- Forward DCF$24.65
- Exit multiple$32.16
- Analyst target$17.86
- Graham number$15.13
Stock price
$13.36
EPS (TTM)
$2.13
3Y EPS CAGR
—
Fair value @ hist. growth
$24.65
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-2.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 45.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | -4.0% | -4.2% | -4.5% | -4.7% | -5.0% |
| 14.0% | -2.8% | -3.0% | -3.2% | -3.4% | -3.7% |
| 15.0% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -2.0% | -2.2% | -2.4% |
| 15.0% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -2.0% | -2.2% | -2.4% |
| 15.0% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -2.0% | -2.2% | -2.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.08
Low vs growth
Net debt
$13.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
2.30
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 3 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Sunrun (RUN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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