Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what RUN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2.65
Method range
$2.65 – $16.50
median $12.45
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $24.65 | +125.08% |
| Exit multiple | $9.77 | -10.73% |
| Analyst target | $16.50 | +50.68% |
| Graham number | $15.13 | +38.20% |
- Forward DCF$24.65
- Exit multiple$9.77
- Analyst target$16.50
- Graham number$15.13
Stock price
$10.95
EPS (TTM)
$2.13
3Y EPS CAGR
—
Fair value @ hist. growth
$24.65
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-5.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 55.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | -7.3% | -7.5% | -7.8% | -8.0% | -8.2% |
| 14.0% | -6.2% | -6.4% | -6.6% | -6.8% | -7.0% |
| 15.0% | -5.1% | -5.2% | -5.4% | -5.6% | -5.8% |
| 15.0% | -5.1% | -5.2% | -5.4% | -5.6% | -5.8% |
| 15.0% | -5.1% | -5.2% | -5.4% | -5.6% | -5.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.08
Low vs growth
Net debt
$13.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
2.32
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 3 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Sunrun (RUN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.