Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SAIC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$863.26
Method range
$43.91 – $863.26
median $124.90
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $863.26 | +654.93% |
| Exit multiple | $141.55 | +23.79% |
| Analyst target | $108.25 | -5.33% |
| Graham number | $43.91 | -61.60% |
- Forward DCF$863.26
- Exit multiple$141.55
- Analyst target$108.25
- Graham number$43.91
Stock price
$114.35
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.70
3Y FCF CAGR
10.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$160.08
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
6.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 28.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
10.6%
Your model implies
6.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 11% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | -1.8% |
| 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | -1.8% |
| 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| 6.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| 7.9% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.23
Low vs growth
Net debt
$2.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.27
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Science Applications International (SAIC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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