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Fair Value for Sandisk (SNDK)

See growth priced into Sandisk (SNDK): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

FCF / share

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what SNDK is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$24,502,435,278.86

Margin of safety
+100.00% vs current price $1,599.27

Method range

$226.18 $24,502,435,278.86

median $1,399.19

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$24,502,435,278.86
  • Exit multiple$875.70
  • Analyst target$1,922.67
  • Graham number$226.18

Stock price

$1,599.27

FCF / share (TTM)

$20.22

3Y FCF CAGR

Fair value @ hist. growth

$234.00

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

37.4%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -583.4% vs hist-growth DCF

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)15.0%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)8%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
13.0%34.4%33.9%33.4%32.9%32.3%
14.0%36.3%35.9%35.5%35.0%34.5%
15.0%38.3%37.9%37.4%37.0%36.5%
15.0%38.3%37.9%37.4%37.0%36.5%
15.0%38.3%37.9%37.4%37.0%36.5%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday4.9· flat range
5Y low4.9
Median4.9
5Y high4.9
P/SToday0.9· at high
5Y low0.5
Median0.8
5Y high0.9
EV/EBITDAToday3.3· flat range
5Y low3.3
Median3.3
5Y high3.3

PEG

0.02

Low vs growth

Net debt

$561M

Total debt − cash

Beta

4.74

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions

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