Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TDY is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$636.99
Method range
$157.92 – $713.00
median $611.38
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $636.99 | +5.76% |
| Exit multiple | $585.77 | -2.74% |
| Analyst target | $713.00 | +18.39% |
| Graham number | $157.92 | -73.78% |
- Forward DCF$636.99
- Exit multiple$585.77
- Analyst target$713.00
- Graham number$157.92
Stock price
$602.27
FCF / share (TTM)
$4.37
3Y FCF CAGR
8.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$104.38
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
32.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -477.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
8.5%
Your model implies
32.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 9% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 28.4% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 25.0% | 23.6% |
| 8.2% | 31.4% | 30.5% | 29.5% | 28.5% | 27.3% |
| 9.2% | 34.1% | 33.3% | 32.5% | 31.6% | 30.6% |
| 10.2% | 36.6% | 35.9% | 35.2% | 34.4% | 33.6% |
| 11.2% | 39.0% | 38.4% | 37.7% | 37.0% | 36.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$2.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.94
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Teledyne Technologies (TDY) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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