Teradyne (TER) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.03), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, TER sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 18, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.03-0.13 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.03 | -0.13 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.34% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.46% | +0.16pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 25 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.13 |
| Per-event yield | 0.04% |
| Annualized yield | 0.14% |
| Previously paid | Feb 13, 2026 ($0.13) |
| Last record date | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 13, 2026 |
TER Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Teradyne (TER). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.13 | -0.79% | $311.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.42% | +2.44% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | 0.69% | $158.91 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.37% | +19.60% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | 0.56% | $119.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.23% | -5.89% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -0.11% | $78.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.79% | -0.33% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -0.51% | $112.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.80% | +0.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | 2.32% | $108.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.92% | +6.82% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -2.16% | $126.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.48% | +1.22% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -1.26% | $139.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.54% | +1.78% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | 1.99% | $101.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.70% | -1.29% | |
| Q4 | $0.11 | -0.06% | $92.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.38% | +1.66% | |
| Q3 | $0.11 | -0.66% | $107.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.66% | -7.04% | |
| Q2 | $0.11 | -0.90% | $97.81 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.89% | +2.55% | |
| Q1 | $0.11 | -1.35% | $108.46 | 25 | no | yes | -8.40% | -7.11% | |
| Q4 | $0.11 | -1.01% | $94.03 | 5 | yes | yes | -6.56% | -1.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.11 | 0.78% | $87.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.24% | -2.85% | |
| Q2 | $0.11 | -1.34% | $102.89 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.79% | +3.75% | |
| Q1 | $0.11 | -1.63% | $119.11 | 6 | no | yes | -10.07% | +0.87% | |
| Q4 | $0.10 | -1.10% | $149.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.99% | +2.06% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | 0.02% | $123.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.13% | -3.47% | |
| Q2 | $0.10 | 0.71% | $127.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.95% | +2.68% |
- +2.44%
- +19.60%
- -5.89%
- -0.33%
- +0.76%
- +6.82%
- +1.22%
- +1.78%
- -1.29%
- +1.66%
- -7.04%
- +2.55%
- -7.11%
- -1.33%
- -2.85%
- +3.75%
- +0.87%
- +2.06%
- -3.47%
- +2.68%
TER Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
TER Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with TER's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $26.00
- After-tax dividend
- $16.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$62.21
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-45.31
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.07%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.07%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-3.7%
TER Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical TER ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · TER (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.08% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.12% | |
| -7.11% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.04% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.