Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TOST is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2,915.85
Method range
$4.05 – $2,915.85
median $667.20
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $2,915.85 | +11,724.21% |
| Exit multiple | $667.20 | +2,605.59% |
| Analyst target | — | — |
| Graham number | $4.05 | -83.59% |
- Forward DCF$2,915.85
- Exit multiple$667.20
- Analyst target—
- Graham number$4.05
Stock price
$24.66
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.20
3Y FCF CAGR
139.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$4009.56
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
41.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
139.6%
Your model implies
41.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 140% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 5.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.3% | 37.7% | 37.1% | 36.4% | 35.7% | 35.0% |
| 12.3% | 39.9% | 39.4% | 38.8% | 38.2% | 37.5% |
| 13.3% | 42.1% | 41.6% | 41.1% | 40.5% | 39.9% |
| 14.3% | 44.2% | 43.7% | 43.2% | 42.7% | 42.2% |
| 15.0% | 45.7% | 45.2% | 44.8% | 44.3% | 43.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.31
Fair vs growth
Net cash
$1.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.76
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Toast (TOST) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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