Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TOST is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2,898.19
Method range
$4.05 – $2,898.19
median $351.28
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $2,898.19 | +8,881.08% |
| Exit multiple | $667.03 | +1,967.03% |
| Analyst target | $35.53 | +10.10% |
| Graham number | $4.05 | -87.46% |
- Forward DCF$2,898.19
- Exit multiple$667.03
- Analyst target$35.53
- Graham number$4.05
Stock price
$32.27
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.20
3Y FCF CAGR
139.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3,934.71
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
45.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
139.6%
Your model implies
45.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 140% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 6.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.4% | 42.0% | 41.4% | 40.8% | 40.1% | 39.3% |
| 12.4% | 44.4% | 43.8% | 43.2% | 42.6% | 41.9% |
| 13.4% | 46.6% | 46.1% | 45.5% | 45.0% | 44.4% |
| 14.4% | 48.8% | 48.3% | 47.8% | 47.3% | 46.7% |
| 15.0% | 50.1% | 49.6% | 49.1% | 48.6% | 48.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.34
Fair vs growth
Net cash
$1.31B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.74
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.