Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TYL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$193.24
Method range
$59.67 – $1,109.05
median $314.49
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $193.24 | -32.03% |
| Exit multiple | $1,109.05 | +290.07% |
| Analyst target | $435.73 | +53.25% |
| Graham number | $59.67 | -79.01% |
- Forward DCF$193.24
- Exit multiple$1,109.05
- Analyst target$435.73
- Graham number$59.67
Stock price
$284.32
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.43
3Y FCF CAGR
18.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$129.74
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
28.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -119.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
18.1%
Your model implies
28.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 18% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8% | 24.7% | 23.6% | 22.4% | 21.0% | 19.5% |
| 7.8% | 27.7% | 26.8% | 25.8% | 24.7% | 23.4% |
| 8.8% | 30.4% | 29.6% | 28.8% | 27.9% | 26.8% |
| 9.8% | 33.0% | 32.3% | 31.5% | 30.7% | 29.9% |
| 10.8% | 35.4% | 34.8% | 34.1% | 33.4% | 32.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.80
Fair vs growth
Net cash
$339M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.82
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Tyler Technologies (TYL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.73% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.00% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History4 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.