Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TYL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$190.07
Method range
$59.67 – $1,084.33
median $321.76
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $190.07 | -39.09% |
| Exit multiple | $1,084.33 | +247.46% |
| Analyst target | $453.45 | +45.30% |
| Graham number | $59.67 | -80.88% |
- Forward DCF$190.07
- Exit multiple$1,084.33
- Analyst target$453.45
- Graham number$59.67
Stock price
$312.07
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.43
3Y FCF CAGR
18.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$127.40
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
30.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -144.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
18.1%
Your model implies
30.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 18% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | 26.3% | 25.2% | 24.0% | 22.6% | 21.1% |
| 7.9% | 29.3% | 28.3% | 27.3% | 26.2% | 25.0% |
| 8.9% | 32.0% | 31.2% | 30.4% | 29.4% | 28.4% |
| 9.9% | 34.6% | 33.9% | 33.1% | 32.3% | 31.5% |
| 10.9% | 37.0% | 36.4% | 35.7% | 35.0% | 34.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.80
Fair vs growth
Net cash
$339M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.86
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Tyler Technologies (TYL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation