Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what UHS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$884.32
Method range
$125.88 – $884.32
median $223.05
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $884.32 | +509.16% |
| Exit multiple | $230.10 | +58.50% |
| Analyst target | $216.00 | +48.79% |
| Graham number | $125.88 | -13.29% |
- Forward DCF$884.32
- Exit multiple$230.10
- Analyst target$216.00
- Graham number$125.88
Stock price
$145.17
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.02
3Y FCF CAGR
150.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$176173.24
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
19.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
150.4%
Your model implies
19.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 150% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 4.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.6% |
| 9.0% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 15.5% |
| 10.0% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 18.1% |
| 11.0% | 22.9% | 22.3% | 21.8% | 21.2% | 20.6% |
| 12.0% | 24.9% | 24.4% | 23.9% | 23.4% | 22.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$5.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.08
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Universal Health Services (UHS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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