Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what UHS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$871.55
Method range
$125.88 – $871.55
median $217.93
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $871.55 | +483.60% |
| Exit multiple | $230.43 | +54.30% |
| Analyst target | $205.43 | +37.56% |
| Graham number | $125.88 | -15.71% |
- Forward DCF$871.55
- Exit multiple$230.43
- Analyst target$205.43
- Graham number$125.88
Stock price
$149.34
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.02
3Y FCF CAGR
150.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$172,905.36
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
20.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
150.4%
Your model implies
20.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 150% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 4.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 13.2% |
| 9.0% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 16.1% |
| 10.0% | 21.4% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 18.8% |
| 11.0% | 23.5% | 22.9% | 22.4% | 21.8% | 21.2% |
| 12.0% | 25.5% | 25.0% | 24.5% | 24.0% | 23.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$5.37B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.08
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Universal Health Services (UHS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks8.31% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.54% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History4 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.