UNH dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.19), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, UNH sits roughly in line with the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 14, 2026 (±5 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.19
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.19 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.44% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.28% | +1.02pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 11 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±5 days.
Dividend
$2.32
Per-event yield
0.57%
Annualized yield
2.18%
Previously paid
Jun 15, 2026 ($2.32)
Last record date
Jun 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 23, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for UnitedHealth Group (UNH). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $2.32 | -0.45% | $408.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.43% | +0.75% | |
| Q1 | $2.21 | -1.56% | $286.48 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.01% | +0.43% | |
| Q4 | $2.21 | -0.67% | $330.91 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.42% | +3.75% | |
| Q3 | $2.21 | -0.35% | $352.51 | 7 | no | yes | -5.65% | -2.55% | |
| Q2 | $2.21 | -0.17% | $313.53 | 11 | no | yes | -5.74% | -1.82% | |
| Q1 | $2.10 | -0.24% | $493.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.74% | +1.55% | |
| Q4 | $2.10 | 0.43% | $549.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.43% | -8.92% | |
| Q3 | $2.10 | 0.11% | $594.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.77% | -3.16% | |
| Q2 | $2.10 | -1.16% | $497.12 | 9 | no | yes | -3.82% | -2.12% | |
| Q1 | $1.88 | -0.09% | $478.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.84% | +2.91% | |
| Q4 | $1.88 | -0.46% | $552.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.26% | -0.24% | |
| Q3 | $1.88 | -0.95% | $484.81 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.62% | +0.78% | |
| Q2 | $1.88 | 0.46% | $459.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.68% | +4.14% | |
| Q1 | $1.65 | -0.46% | $464.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.57% | +1.34% | |
| Q4 | $1.65 | -0.76% | $536.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.13% | +0.73% | |
| Q3 | $1.65 | 0.06% | $527.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.06% | -0.92% | |
| Q2 | $1.65 | -2.35% | $464.33 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.15% | +7.10% | |
| Q1 | $1.45 | -0.73% | $491.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.82% | +3.28% | |
| Q4 | $1.45 | 0.39% | $446.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.19% | +7.55% | |
| Q3 | $1.45 | 0.24% | $414.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.89% | +1.70% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with UNH's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical UNH ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.03%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
+0.51%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+8.33%
Best event
+0.77%
Worst event
-2.55%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · UNH (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.35% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.39% | |
| -2.12% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.43% | |
| -1.82% | |
| -2.55% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.57% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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