Weyco Group (WEYS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 84% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.41), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, WEYS sits noticeably below the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 21, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 84%-11pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.41+0.19 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 84% | -11pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.41 | +0.19 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.94% | -0.47pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.88% | +0.80pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 2 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.28 |
| Per-event yield | 0.84% |
| Annualized yield | 9.12% |
| Previously paid | Mar 13, 2026 ($0.27) |
| Last record date | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 31, 2026 |
WEYS Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Weyco Group (WEYS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.06% | $33.32 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.46% | -3.78% | |
| Q4 | $2.27 | -5.75% | $34.76 | >30 | no | no | -21.61% | -8.83% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.20% | $29.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.08% | +3.38% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.42% | $33.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.42% | -6.40% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | 0.92% | $29.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.42% | -1.22% | |
| Q4 | $2.26 | -4.60% | $38.89 | >30 | no | no | -11.96% | +1.75% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | 0.45% | $33.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.09% | +4.65% | |
| Q2 | $0.26 | -0.90% | $29.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.93% | -0.73% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.72% | $29.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.75% | +5.53% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.17% | $28.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.73% | +3.11% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -0.62% | $25.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.03% | +0.58% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.29% | $27.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.67% | +0.51% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | -0.36% | $22.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.05% | +9.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -0.15% | $25.85 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.34% | +2.67% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -0.07% | $28.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -17.13% | -11.90% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | -0.27% | $25.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.27% | +9.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | -0.50% | $23.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.51% | +1.30% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -1.91% | $24.64 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.60% | +1.62% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -2.26% | $24.37 | >30 | no | no | -7.63% | -2.59% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | -0.33% | $21.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.02% | +1.51% |
- -3.78%
- -8.83%
- +3.38%
- -6.40%
- -1.22%
- +1.75%
- +4.65%
- -0.73%
- +5.53%
- +3.11%
- +0.58%
- +0.51%
- +9.49%
- +2.67%
- -11.90%
- +9.43%
- +1.30%
- +1.62%
- -2.59%
- +1.51%
WEYS Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
WEYS Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with WEYS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $56.00
- After-tax dividend
- $36.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$6.66
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$29.74
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.45%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~22.5%
WEYS Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical WEYS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · WEYS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.13% | |
| -2.59% | |
| +0.97% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +1.07% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +0.97% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +1.75% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.92% | |
| -8.83% | |
| +0.81% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.