Ethereum (ETHUSD) seasonality heatmap
Returns across monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods. Cell color encodes signed magnitude; the scale auto-fits each table.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -17.4% | -19.8% | +7.1% | +7.3% | -11.2% | -14.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | -0.9% | -32.2% | -18.5% | -1.5% | +41.0% | -1.7% | +48.7% | +18.8% | -5.6% | -7.2% | -22.2% | -0.8% |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +46.5% | +9.1% | -17.4% | +24.8% | -8.7% | -5.8% | -22.3% | +3.5% | -3.3% | +47.4% | -10.1% |
| 2023 | +32.6% | +1.3% | +13.5% | +2.7% | +0.2% | +3.2% | -4.0% | -11.3% | +1.5% | +8.6% | +13.1% | +11.1% |
| 2022 | -26.8% | +8.7% | +12.3% | -17.0% | -28.8% | -44.9% | +56.9% | -7.5% | -14.5% | +18.3% | -17.7% | -7.7% |
| 2021 | +78.1% | +8.2% | +35.0% | +44.6% | -2.5% | -15.9% | +11.3% | +35.4% | -12.5% | +43.0% | +8.0% | -20.7% |
| 2020 | +39.8% | +20.9% | -38.8% | +55.0% | +12.3% | -2.6% | +53.8% | +25.1% | -17.1% | +7.5% | +59.5% | +19.6% |
| 2019 | -19.0% | +27.1% | +5.0% | +13.6% | +66.9% | +8.3% | -24.6% | -21.4% | +5.4% | +0.7% | -16.8% | -15.3% |
| 2018 | +49.1% | -23.1% | -53.6% | +69.8% | -13.8% | -21.5% | -4.6% | -34.8% | -17.6% | -15.2% | -43.3% | +16.9% |
| 2017 | +31.1% | +51.8% | +209.0% | +61.2% | +183.3% | +22.2% | -28.3% | +93.8% | -22.5% | +0.6% | +43.0% | +70.8% |
| 2016 | +131.9% | +188.5% | +79.1% | -22.2% | +60.0% | -11.8% | -4.0% | -2.4% | +13.1% | -17.1% | -21.5% | -5.2% |
| 2015 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -45.4% | +21.6% | +1.4% | +7.8% |
| Avg | +27.1% | +25.3% | +23.6% | +17.8% | +30.2% | -7.3% | +9.9% | +7.3% | -10.2% | +5.2% | +4.6% | +6.0% |
| Median | +31.1% | +8.7% | +9.1% | +7.3% | +12.3% | -5.6% | -4.0% | -4.9% | -12.5% | +0.7% | +1.4% | -0.8% |
| Last 5Y Avg | -2.5% | +0.9% | +4.7% | -5.2% | +5.2% | -13.6% | +21.4% | +2.6% | -5.5% | +11.9% | +5.7% | -5.7% |
| Std Dev (σ) | 47.8% | 60.5% | 70.9% | 33.8% | 59.4% | 18.2% | 31.9% | 37.8% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 33.3% | 25.1% |
| Consistency (μ/σ) | 0.57 | 0.42 | 0.33 | 0.53 | 0.51 | -0.40 | 0.31 | 0.19 | -0.62 | 0.30 | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| Win Rate (%) | 64% | 73% | 73% | 64% | 64% | 30% | 40% | 40% | 36% | 64% | 55% | 45% |
| Winning / Losing Months | ▲7▼4 | ▲8▼3 | ▲8▼3 | ▲7▼4 | ▲7▼4 | ▲3▼7 | ▲4▼6 | ▲4▼6 | ▲4▼7 | ▲7▼4 | ▲6▼5 | ▲5▼6 |
| Longest Win / Loss Streak | ▲3▼2 | ▲6▼2 | ▲4▼1 | ▲5▼2 | ▲3▼2 | ▲1▼3 | ▲3▼4 | ▲2▼3 | ▲2▼3 | ▲5▼2 | ▲2▼2 | ▲2▼2 |
| Best | +131.9%in January 2016 | +188.5%in February 2016 | +209.0%in March 2017 | +69.8%in April 2018 | +183.3%in May 2017 | +22.2%in June 2017 | +56.9%in July 2022 | +93.8%in August 2017 | +13.1%in September 2016 | +43.0%in October 2021 | +59.5%in November 2020 | +70.8%in December 2017 |
| Worst | -26.8%in January 2022 | -32.2%in February 2025 | -53.6%in March 2018 | -22.2%in April 2016 | -28.8%in May 2022 | -44.9%in June 2022 | -28.3%in July 2017 | -34.8%in August 2018 | -45.4%in September 2015 | -17.1%in October 2016 | -43.3%in November 2018 | -20.7%in December 2021 |
−53.6%+209.0%
2026
Jan-17.4%
Feb-19.8%
Mar+7.1%
Apr+7.3%
May-11.2%
Jun-14.7%
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec—
2025
Jan-0.9%
Feb-32.2%
Mar-18.5%
Apr-1.5%
May+41.0%
Jun-1.7%
Jul+48.7%
Aug+18.8%
Sep-5.6%
Oct-7.2%
Nov-22.2%
Dec-0.8%
2024
Jan+0.0%
Feb+46.5%
Mar+9.1%
Apr-17.4%
May+24.8%
Jun-8.7%
Jul-5.8%
Aug-22.3%
Sep+3.5%
Oct-3.3%
Nov+47.4%
Dec-10.1%
2023
Jan+32.6%
Feb+1.3%
Mar+13.5%
Apr+2.7%
May+0.2%
Jun+3.2%
Jul-4.0%
Aug-11.3%
Sep+1.5%
Oct+8.6%
Nov+13.1%
Dec+11.1%
2022
Jan-26.8%
Feb+8.7%
Mar+12.3%
Apr-17.0%
May-28.8%
Jun-44.9%
Jul+56.9%
Aug-7.5%
Sep-14.5%
Oct+18.3%
Nov-17.7%
Dec-7.7%
2021
Jan+78.1%
Feb+8.2%
Mar+35.0%
Apr+44.6%
May-2.5%
Jun-15.9%
Jul+11.3%
Aug+35.4%
Sep-12.5%
Oct+43.0%
Nov+8.0%
Dec-20.7%
2020
Jan+39.8%
Feb+20.9%
Mar-38.8%
Apr+55.0%
May+12.3%
Jun-2.6%
Jul+53.8%
Aug+25.1%
Sep-17.1%
Oct+7.5%
Nov+59.5%
Dec+19.6%
2019
Jan-19.0%
Feb+27.1%
Mar+5.0%
Apr+13.6%
May+66.9%
Jun+8.3%
Jul-24.6%
Aug-21.4%
Sep+5.4%
Oct+0.7%
Nov-16.8%
Dec-15.3%
2018
Jan+49.1%
Feb-23.1%
Mar-53.6%
Apr+69.8%
May-13.8%
Jun-21.5%
Jul-4.6%
Aug-34.8%
Sep-17.6%
Oct-15.2%
Nov-43.3%
Dec+16.9%
2017
Jan+31.1%
Feb+51.8%
Mar+209.0%
Apr+61.2%
May+183.3%
Jun+22.2%
Jul-28.3%
Aug+93.8%
Sep-22.5%
Oct+0.6%
Nov+43.0%
Dec+70.8%
2016
Jan+131.9%
Feb+188.5%
Mar+79.1%
Apr-22.2%
May+60.0%
Jun-11.8%
Jul-4.0%
Aug-2.4%
Sep+13.1%
Oct-17.1%
Nov-21.5%
Dec-5.2%
2015
Jan—
Feb—
Mar—
Apr—
May—
Jun—
Jul—
Aug—
Sep-45.4%
Oct+21.6%
Nov+1.4%
Dec+7.8%
Avg
Jan+27.1%
Feb+25.3%
Mar+23.6%
Apr+17.8%
May+30.2%
Jun-7.3%
Jul+9.9%
Aug+7.3%
Sep-10.2%
Oct+5.2%
Nov+4.6%
Dec+6.0%
Median
Jan+31.1%
Feb+8.7%
Mar+9.1%
Apr+7.3%
May+12.3%
Jun-5.6%
Jul-4.0%
Aug-4.9%
Sep-12.5%
Oct+0.7%
Nov+1.4%
Dec-0.8%
Last 5Y Avg
Jan-2.5%
Feb+0.9%
Mar+4.7%
Apr-5.2%
May+5.2%
Jun-13.6%
Jul+21.4%
Aug+2.6%
Sep-5.5%
Oct+11.9%
Nov+5.7%
Dec-5.7%
Std Dev (σ)
Jan47.8%
Feb60.5%
Mar70.9%
Apr33.8%
May59.4%
Jun18.2%
Jul31.9%
Aug37.8%
Sep16.3%
Oct17.5%
Nov33.3%
Dec25.1%
Consistency (μ/σ)
Jan0.57
Feb0.42
Mar0.33
Apr0.53
May0.51
Jun-0.40
Jul0.31
Aug0.19
Sep-0.62
Oct0.30
Nov0.14
Dec0.24
Win Rate (%)
Jan64%
Feb73%
Mar73%
Apr64%
May64%
Jun30%
Jul40%
Aug40%
Sep36%
Oct64%
Nov55%
Dec45%
Winning / Losing Months
Jan▲7▼4
Feb▲8▼3
Mar▲8▼3
Apr▲7▼4
May▲7▼4
Jun▲3▼7
Jul▲4▼6
Aug▲4▼6
Sep▲4▼7
Oct▲7▼4
Nov▲6▼5
Dec▲5▼6
Longest Win / Loss Streak
Jan▲3▼2
Feb▲6▼2
Mar▲4▼1
Apr▲5▼2
May▲3▼2
Jun▲1▼3
Jul▲3▼4
Aug▲2▼3
Sep▲2▼3
Oct▲5▼2
Nov▲2▼2
Dec▲2▼2
Best
Jan+131.9%2016
Feb+188.5%2016
Mar+209.0%2017
Apr+69.8%2018
May+183.3%2017
Jun+22.2%2017
Jul+56.9%2022
Aug+93.8%2017
Sep+13.1%2016
Oct+43.0%2021
Nov+59.5%2020
Dec+70.8%2017
Worst
Jan-26.8%2022
Feb-32.2%2025
Mar-53.6%2018
Apr-22.2%2016
May-28.8%2022
Jun-44.9%2022
Jul-28.3%2017
Aug-34.8%2018
Sep-45.4%2015
Oct-17.1%2016
Nov-43.3%2018
Dec-20.7%2021
−53.6%+209.0%
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