EUR/USD — Daily Price Character
Historical session stats from dividend-adjusted prices: win rate, streaks, record days, weekday patterns, and (when available) how often this symbol was green on S&P 500 green days.
Archetype
Steady
Low daily volatility — small, predictable daily moves.
Win rate
48.8%
6961 green · 6974 red · 325 flat · 14260 sessions
Current streak
2 green
As of Apr 7, 2026
Max win / lose streak
12 / 16 days
Win streak return: +12.58% · Lose: 8.67%
Median / σ daily
+0.000% · 0.604%
Avg green +0.45% · avg red 0.44%
Extreme days (>3%)
0.1%
9 up · 8 down
History from Jan 5, 1971 through Apr 7, 2026 · 14260 trading days with returns.
Trailing year — daily returns (calendar)
Apr 8, 2025 – Apr 7, 2026 · Mon–Fri sessions only
Monday–Friday — average return
Average dividend-adjusted return on that weekday (green / red by sign). Green/red day rule: ±0.01% vs prior close.
Monday–Friday — win rate
Share of sessions that closed green on that weekday. Bars are green at or above 50%, red below 50%.
Top green days
Largest single-session gains (dividend-adjusted), by historical return.
| Date | Return |
|---|---|
| Feb 12, 1973 | +6.21% |
| Sep 23, 1985 | +3.80% |
| Mar 18, 2009 | +3.49% |
| Feb 27, 1985 | +3.42% |
| Mar 20, 1972 | +3.29% |
| Aug 21, 1991 | +3.22% |
| Jan 9, 1974 | +3.09% |
| Dec 3, 2015 | +3.06% |
| Nov 10, 1980 | +3.02% |
| Dec 17, 2008 | +2.99% |
| Nov 24, 2008 | +2.98% |
| Apr 9, 1980 | +2.95% |
| Apr 16, 1986 | +2.91% |
| Jan 4, 1990 | +2.84% |
| Sep 25, 1989 | +2.78% |
| Feb 9, 1987 | +2.77% |
| Feb 19, 1981 | +2.76% |
| Oct 5, 1981 | +2.75% |
| Sep 29, 1992 | +2.73% |
| Nov 4, 2008 | +2.66% |
Worst red days
Largest single-session losses; "Days to recovery" counts trading sessions until close recovered the prior peak (dividend-adjusted).
| Date | Return | Days to recovery |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 1978 | 5.64% | 234 |
| Jan 5, 1978 | 4.15% | 31 |
| Jan 7, 1974 | 3.78% | 3 |
| Jan 15, 1988 | 3.41% | 650 |
| Mar 17, 1972 | 3.40% | 60 |
| Aug 19, 1991 | 3.27% | 2 |
| Nov 7, 1973 | 3.07% | 117 |
| Jan 9, 1992 | 3.04% | 125 |
| Nov 23, 1973 | 2.74% | 80 |
| Jan 5, 1988 | 2.72% | 664 |
| Oct 24, 2008 | 2.67% | 3 |
| Mar 24, 1986 | 2.66% | 16 |
| Jun 24, 2016 | 2.65% | 262 |
| May 17, 1991 | 2.52% | 7 |
| Jul 9, 1973 | 2.50% | 410 |
| Jan 3, 2001 | 2.47% | 2 |
| Aug 17, 1978 | 2.41% | 27 |
| Aug 11, 2010 | 2.37% | 29 |
| Sep 6, 1985 | 2.36% | 11 |
| Jan 17, 1997 | 2.36% | 1794 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the daily win rate for EUR/USD forex pair?
- Historically, EUR/USD forex pair closed green on 48.8% of trading days (6961 green, 6974 red, 325 flat), using close-to-close daily returns and a ±0.01% threshold for green vs red.
What is the current winning or losing streak for EUR/USD forex pair?
- As of 2026-04-07, EUR/USD forex pair is on a 2-day winning streak (consecutive green or red days by the same rules, ignoring trailing flat days).
What does Steady, Balanced, or Explosive mean for EUR/USD forex pair?
- We label EUR/USD forex pair as "steady" based on the sample standard deviation of daily returns: Low daily volatility — small, predictable daily moves.
What were the best and worst single trading days for EUR/USD forex pair?
- Largest single-day gain: +6.21%. Largest single-day loss: 5.64%. Tables on this page list the top record green and red days.
What counts as an "extreme" daily move for EUR/USD forex pair?
- We treat a day as extreme if the absolute daily return exceeds 3%. About 0.1% of trading days for EUR/USD forex pair were extreme (9 up, 8 down).
Data & methodology
How are green, red, and flat days defined?
- We use dividend-adjusted (or close-to-close for non-equity) daily returns. Green: return ≥ +0.01%. Red: return ≤ −0.01%. Flat: between those bounds.
How is the current streak calculated?
- We count consecutive green or consecutive red days using the same thresholds. If the most recent session is flat, we skip trailing flat days and measure from the last non-flat close.
What does “vs S&P 500” mean?
- On sessions where the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was green, we report how often this symbol was also green. Shown only when benchmark data exists and the symbol is not the index itself.
Where does the archetype come from?
- Sample standard deviation of daily returns: low → Steady, high → Explosive, otherwise Balanced. Labels describe typical daily volatility, not quality of the investment.