ALG dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Alamo Group (ALG) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.06), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ALG sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 15, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.06
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.06 | -0.11 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.07% | +0.41pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.01% | +1.01pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 15 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.34
Per-event yield
0.21%
Annualized yield
0.80%
Previously paid
Jul 16, 2026 ($0.34)
Last record date
Jul 16, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 29, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Alamo Group (ALG). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.34 | -0.40% | $162.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.97% | +1.63% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | -0.88% | $175.96 | 15 | no | yes | -5.66% | -3.62% | |
| Q1 | $0.34 | -0.45% | $193.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.71% | -0.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | 0.32% | $183.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.87% | +2.25% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | -0.14% | $219.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.15% | -0.27% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | -0.51% | $169.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.81% | +0.62% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | 0.01% | $181.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.66% | +2.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.26 | 0.32% | $178.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.33% | -4.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | 0.21% | $175.45 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.21% | +6.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.26 | 0.76% | $213.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.98% | -4.22% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | 0.90% | $200.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.13% | +4.44% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | 0.61% | $174.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.82% | -5.84% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | -0.63% | $191.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.01% | +3.68% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | -0.23% | $176.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.48% | +2.19% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | -0.51% | $155.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.94% | -1.36% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | 1.38% | $136.31 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.98% | +10.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | 1.56% | $113.44 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.23% | +6.61% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | 0.32% | $137.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.07% | -2.21% | |
| Q1 | $0.18 | -1.84% | $157.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.44% | -4.96% | |
| Q4 | $0.14 | 0.61% | $143.54 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.59% | +4.08% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 19 | 95% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with ALG's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical ALG ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.05%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
-0.91%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+18.93%
Best event
+0.21%
Worst event
-3.62%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ALG (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.10% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.18% | |
| -3.62% | |
| +0.21% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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