Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ALG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$226.00
Method range
$72.82 – $226.00
median $185.85
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $226.00 | +51.30% |
| Exit multiple | $182.70 | +22.31% |
| Analyst target | $189.00 | +26.53% |
| Graham number | $72.82 | -51.25% |
- Forward DCF$226.00
- Exit multiple$182.70
- Analyst target$189.00
- Graham number$72.82
Stock price
$149.37
EPS (TTM)
$8.36
5Y EPS CAGR
12.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$226.00
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
6.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 33.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
12.0%
Your model implies
6.3%
Next-year analyst consensus
25.3%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% |
| 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.19
Low vs growth
Net cash
$89M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.11
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Alamo Group (ALG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
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