APD dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Air Products and Chemicals (APD) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.33), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, APD sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Oct 1, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.81.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.33
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.33 | +0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.71% | -0.34pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.47% | +1.47pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 20 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$1.81
Per-event yield
0.62%
Annualized yield
2.46%
Previously paid
Jul 1, 2026 ($1.81)
Last record date
Jul 1, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 10, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Air Products and Chemicals (APD). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $1.81 | -0.62% | $293.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.48% | +1.53% | |
| Q2 | $1.81 | -0.81% | $290.49 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.18% | +3.12% | |
| Q1 | $1.79 | -0.70% | $247.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.89% | +7.49% | |
| Q4 | $1.79 | -1.20% | $272.72 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.78% | -0.86% | |
| Q3 | $1.79 | -1.28% | $282.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.97% | +4.95% | |
| Q2 | $1.79 | -1.38% | $294.92 | 2 | yes | yes | -17.37% | -15.10% | |
| Q1 | $1.77 | -1.20% | $290.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.78% | +1.66% | |
| Q4 | $1.77 | -0.68% | $297.74 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.62% | +4.83% | |
| Q3 | $1.77 | -0.59% | $258.05 | 8 | no | yes | -4.67% | -0.61% | |
| Q1 | $1.77 | -0.56% | $243.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.46% | -1.09% | |
| Q4 | $1.75 | -0.58% | $274.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.09% | +0.13% | |
| Q3 | $1.75 | 0.31% | $286.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.93% | -1.42% | |
| Q2 | $1.75 | 0.38% | $294.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.40% | -1.01% | |
| Q1 | $1.75 | -0.30% | $279.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.56% | +1.95% | |
| Q4 | $1.62 | -0.97% | $311.41 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.56% | +0.60% | |
| Q3 | $1.62 | -0.16% | $231.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.02% | +0.69% | |
| Q2 | $1.62 | -2.25% | $243.13 | 20 | no | yes | -9.97% | -3.83% | |
| Q1 | $1.62 | -0.96% | $253.16 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.75% | -0.07% | |
| Q4 | $1.50 | -0.63% | $303.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.48% | -1.64% | |
| Q3 | $1.50 | 0.00% | $260.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.17% | +1.78% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with APD's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical APD ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.34%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+6.76%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+30.94%
Best event
+0.73%
Worst event
-3.83%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · APD (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.58% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.64% | |
| -3.83% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.73% | |
| -0.61% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.62% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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