APH dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Amphenol (APH) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.18), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, APH sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 22, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.18
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.18 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.47% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.12% | +1.92pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 11 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$0.25
Per-event yield
0.15%
Annualized yield
0.58%
Previously paid
Jun 23, 2026 ($0.25)
Last record date
Jun 23, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Amphenol (APH). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.25 | -3.77% | $165.96 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.87% | +6.39% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | 1.88% | $126.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.71% | -5.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.65% | $129.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.48% | +5.75% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -0.05% | $119.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.59% | +5.30% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | -0.85% | $93.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.24% | +4.07% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | -1.10% | $63.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.64% | +9.07% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | -0.46% | $75.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.49% | -4.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | 0.68% | $63.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.24% | +4.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.11 | -0.25% | $69.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.79% | -2.73% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | 0.48% | $54.65 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.15% | +4.90% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | -0.36% | $49.64 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.92% | +0.66% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | -0.30% | $42.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.30% | -2.38% | |
| Q2 | $0.21 | 0.78% | $40.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.56% | -1.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.21 | -0.03% | $38.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.23% | +2.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.21 | -0.36% | $38.83 | 11 | no | yes | -3.76% | -1.16% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -1.04% | $36.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.06% | -5.55% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -0.06% | $31.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.34% | +6.40% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -0.63% | $38.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.31% | -0.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -1.60% | $41.24 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.93% | +6.11% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -1.64% | $37.86 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.54% | +2.44% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with APH's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical APH ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.28%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+5.57%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+329.50%
Best event
+0.64%
Worst event
-1.16%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · APH (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.38% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.55% | |
| -1.16% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.15% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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