Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what APH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$258.26
Method range
$14.02 – $258.26
median $166.92
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $258.26 | +63.96% |
| Exit multiple | $143.50 | -8.89% |
| Analyst target | $190.33 | +20.84% |
| Graham number | $14.02 | -91.10% |
- Forward DCF$258.26
- Exit multiple$143.50
- Analyst target$190.33
- Graham number$14.02
Stock price
$157.51
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.68
3Y FCF CAGR
38.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$101.27
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
44.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -55.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
38.1%
Your model implies
44.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 38% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.9% | 40.8% | 40.0% | 39.0% | 38.0% | 36.9% |
| 9.9% | 43.6% | 42.8% | 42.0% | 41.1% | 40.2% |
| 10.9% | 46.2% | 45.5% | 44.8% | 44.0% | 43.2% |
| 11.9% | 48.7% | 48.1% | 47.4% | 46.7% | 46.0% |
| 12.9% | 51.1% | 50.5% | 49.9% | 49.3% | 48.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$4.37B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.24
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Amphenol (APH) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.55% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.58% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History6 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.