Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what APH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$252.11
Method range
$14.02 – $252.11
median $160.75
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $252.11 | +81.63% |
| Exit multiple | $140.61 | +1.30% |
| Analyst target | $180.89 | +30.31% |
| Graham number | $14.02 | -89.90% |
- Forward DCF$252.11
- Exit multiple$140.61
- Analyst target$180.89
- Graham number$14.02
Stock price
$138.81
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.68
3Y FCF CAGR
38.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$98.73
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
43.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -40.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
38.1%
Your model implies
43.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 38% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | 39.4% | 38.5% | 37.6% | 36.7% | 35.6% |
| 10.0% | 42.1% | 41.3% | 40.5% | 39.7% | 38.8% |
| 11.0% | 44.6% | 43.9% | 43.2% | 42.5% | 41.7% |
| 12.0% | 47.0% | 46.4% | 45.8% | 45.1% | 44.4% |
| 13.0% | 49.4% | 48.8% | 48.2% | 47.6% | 47.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$4.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.30
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Amphenol (APH) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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