APO dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 85% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Apollo Global Management (APO) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.16), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, APO sits noticeably below the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 19, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
85%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.16
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.16 | -0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.63% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.27% | -0.87pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 16 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$0.56
Per-event yield
0.42%
Annualized yield
1.60%
Previously paid
May 19, 2026 ($0.56)
Last record date
May 19, 2026
Last payment date
May 29, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Apollo Global Management (APO). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.56 | -0.95% | $134.07 | 16 | no | yes | -5.96% | -2.41% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | -2.28% | $125.36 | >30 | no | no | -20.58% | -8.34% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.46% | $130.60 | 4 | yes | yes | -6.21% | +0.01% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.79% | $139.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.14% | -3.58% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -0.19% | $143.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.95% | -8.76% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | 0.43% | $162.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.27% | -10.47% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | 0.06% | $163.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.67% | +7.05% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -0.59% | $110.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.50% | +1.03% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | -0.28% | $115.32 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.74% | -1.71% | |
| Q1 | $0.43 | -0.04% | $114.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.40% | -2.40% | |
| Q4 | $0.43 | -0.71% | $86.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.30% | +5.29% | |
| Q3 | $0.43 | -0.04% | $80.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.33% | +3.35% | |
| Q2 | $0.43 | 0.28% | $63.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.74% | +3.31% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -1.68% | $72.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.20% | -1.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | -2.23% | $64.54 | 5 | yes | yes | -5.95% | +1.83% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -1.91% | $60.73 | >30 | no | no | -10.06% | -2.26% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | 1.94% | $53.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.17% | +0.88% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -1.12% | $67.96 | >30 | no | no | -13.04% | -2.78% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.56% | $75.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.79% | -4.32% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -1.47% | $58.32 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.84% | +0.57% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
Pre-filled with APO's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical APO ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.39%
Win rate (20 trades)
80%
Cumulative P&L
-7.77%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+140.61%
Best event
+0.86%
Worst event
-8.34%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · APO (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.86% | |
| +0.66% | |
| -2.78% | |
| +0.75% | |
| -2.26% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.39% | |
| -8.34% | |
| -2.41% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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