Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what APO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$3,968.12
Method range
$49.01 – $3,968.12
median $160.35
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $3,968.12 | +2,999.37% |
| Exit multiple | $156.38 | +22.14% |
| Analyst target | $164.33 | +28.35% |
| Graham number | $49.01 | -61.72% |
- Forward DCF$3,968.12
- Exit multiple$156.38
- Analyst target$164.33
- Graham number$49.01
Stock price
$128.03
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.72
3Y FCF CAGR
30.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$205.44
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
23.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 37.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
30.5%
Your model implies
23.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 31% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 10.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 17.9% |
| 11.0% | 22.6% | 22.1% | 21.6% | 21.0% | 20.3% |
| 12.0% | 24.6% | 24.1% | 23.6% | 23.1% | 22.6% |
| 13.0% | 26.5% | 26.1% | 25.6% | 25.2% | 24.7% |
| 14.0% | 28.4% | 28.0% | 27.6% | 27.1% | 26.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.04
Low vs growth
Net cash
$5.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.49
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Apollo Global Management (APO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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