Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what APO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$3,852.27
Method range
$49.01 – $3,852.27
median $153.38
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $3,852.27 | +3,136.12% |
| Exit multiple | $156.08 | +31.12% |
| Analyst target | $150.67 | +26.57% |
| Graham number | $49.01 | -58.83% |
- Forward DCF$3,852.27
- Exit multiple$156.08
- Analyst target$150.67
- Graham number$49.01
Stock price
$119.04
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.72
3Y FCF CAGR
30.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$200.18
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
23.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 40.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
30.5%
Your model implies
23.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 31% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 10.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.2% | 19.9% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| 11.2% | 21.9% | 21.4% | 20.9% | 20.3% | 19.7% |
| 12.2% | 23.9% | 23.4% | 23.0% | 22.4% | 21.9% |
| 13.2% | 25.8% | 25.4% | 24.9% | 24.5% | 24.0% |
| 14.2% | 27.6% | 27.2% | 26.8% | 26.4% | 25.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.04
Low vs growth
Net cash
$5.88B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.50
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Apollo Global Management (APO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.