Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what APTV is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2.41
Method range
$2.41 – $237.64
median $59.53
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $2.41 | -96.49% |
| Exit multiple | $237.64 | +246.42% |
| Analyst target | $89.75 | +30.83% |
| Graham number | $29.31 | -57.28% |
- Forward DCF$2.41
- Exit multiple$237.64
- Analyst target$89.75
- Graham number$29.31
Stock price
$68.60
EPS (TTM)
$1.68
5Y EPS CAGR
-35.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2.41
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
20.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2752.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-35.4%
Your model implies
20.1%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 270% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.2% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.1% |
| 10.2% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 16.6% |
| 11.2% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 18.9% |
| 12.2% | 23.0% | 22.6% | 22.1% | 21.6% | 21.0% |
| 13.2% | 24.9% | 24.4% | 24.0% | 23.6% | 23.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.42
Low vs growth
Net debt
$6.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.33
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Aptiv (APTV) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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