Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AXON is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$24,698.74
Method range
$45.78 – $24,698.74
median $738.02
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $24,698.74 | +4,980.79% |
| Exit multiple | $822.14 | +69.12% |
| Analyst target | $653.89 | +34.51% |
| Graham number | $45.78 | -90.58% |
- Forward DCF$24,698.74
- Exit multiple$822.14
- Analyst target$653.89
- Graham number$45.78
Stock price
$486.12
EPS (TTM)
$2.49
5Y EPS CAGR
116.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$24698.74
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
44.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 98.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
116.4%
Your model implies
44.0%
Next-year analyst consensus
209%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.7% | 40.3% | 39.5% | 38.7% | 37.8% | 36.9% |
| 10.7% | 42.9% | 42.2% | 41.4% | 40.7% | 39.8% |
| 11.7% | 45.3% | 44.7% | 44.0% | 43.3% | 42.6% |
| 12.7% | 47.7% | 47.1% | 46.5% | 45.9% | 45.2% |
| 13.7% | 49.9% | 49.4% | 48.9% | 48.3% | 47.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.01
Low vs growth
Net debt
$709M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.42
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Axon Enterprise (AXON) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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