Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AXON is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$25,149.62
Method range
$45.78 – $25,149.62
median $740.52
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $25,149.62 | +5,017.02% |
| Exit multiple | $822.49 | +67.35% |
| Analyst target | $658.56 | +33.99% |
| Graham number | $45.78 | -90.69% |
- Forward DCF$25,149.62
- Exit multiple$822.49
- Analyst target$658.56
- Graham number$45.78
Stock price
$491.49
EPS (TTM)
$2.49
5Y EPS CAGR
116.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$25,149.62
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
44.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 98.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
116.4%
Your model implies
44.0%
Next-year analyst consensus
209%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.6% | 40.2% | 39.4% | 38.6% | 37.7% | 36.7% |
| 10.6% | 42.8% | 42.1% | 41.3% | 40.6% | 39.7% |
| 11.6% | 45.2% | 44.6% | 44.0% | 43.3% | 42.5% |
| 12.6% | 47.6% | 47.0% | 46.4% | 45.8% | 45.1% |
| 13.6% | 49.9% | 49.4% | 48.8% | 48.2% | 47.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.01
Low vs growth
Net debt
$709M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.38
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Axon Enterprise (AXON) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.