Baker Hughes (BKR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.19), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, BKR sits roughly in line with the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 4, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.19-0.14 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.19 | -0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.41% | +0.40pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 84% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.37% | +2.81pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 5 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.23 |
| Per-event yield | 0.33% |
| Annualized yield | 1.36% |
| Previously paid | May 5, 2026 ($0.23) |
| Last record date | May 5, 2026 |
| Last payment date | May 15, 2026 |
BKR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Baker Hughes (BKR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.23 | 0.00% | $69.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.96% | — | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | -0.87% | $61.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.64% | +6.13% | |
| Q4 | $0.23 | -1.93% | $48.64 | 5 | yes | yes | -5.80% | +1.11% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -0.32% | $43.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.09% | -2.31% | |
| Q2 | $0.23 | 0.14% | $36.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.63% | +4.52% | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | -0.49% | $47.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.68% | -0.61% | |
| Q4 | $0.21 | -0.05% | $37.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.26% | +17.09% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | -0.96% | $34.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.77% | +1.51% | |
| Q2 | $0.21 | -0.34% | $31.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.16% | +1.94% | |
| Q1 | $0.21 | -0.28% | $29.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.48% | +0.69% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | 0.06% | $35.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.74% | -2.73% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -0.11% | $35.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.79% | +0.03% | |
| Q2 | $0.19 | -0.18% | $28.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.71% | +6.64% | |
| Q1 | $0.19 | 0.06% | $31.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.08% | +5.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | 1.41% | $28.29 | 1 | yes | yes | 1.20% | +10.32% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -0.54% | $24.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.87% | +5.90% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | -1.54% | $37.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.23% | +2.05% | |
| Q1 | $0.18 | -0.08% | $26.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.42% | +11.23% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | 0.20% | $25.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.35% | +0.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -2.45% | $21.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.37% | +1.27% |
- —
- +6.13%
- +1.11%
- -2.31%
- +4.52%
- -0.61%
- +17.09%
- +1.51%
- +1.94%
- +0.69%
- -2.73%
- +0.03%
- +6.64%
- +5.48%
- +10.32%
- +5.90%
- +2.05%
- +11.23%
- +0.00%
- +1.27%
BKR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 19 | 95% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
BKR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with BKR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $46.00
- After-tax dividend
- $29.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$13.80
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$16.10
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.12%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~5.9%
BKR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical BKR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · BKR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.85% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.33% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.