BLK dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
BlackRock (BLK) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.30), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, BLK sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 8, 2026, with an expected dividend of $5.73.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.30
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.30 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.83% | -0.24pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.38% | +1.02pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 27 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$5.73
Per-event yield
0.56%
Annualized yield
1.99%
Previously paid
Jun 5, 2026 ($5.73)
Last record date
Jun 5, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 23, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for BlackRock (BLK). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $5.73 | -1.04% | $1,022.56 | 6 | no | yes | -3.40% | +1.48% | |
| Q1 | $5.73 | -4.22% | $1,035.00 | 27 | no | yes | -11.36% | -10.16% | |
| Q4 | $5.21 | -0.66% | $1,075.58 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.71% | +1.74% | |
| Q3 | $5.21 | -0.09% | $1,108.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.82% | +1.79% | |
| Q2 | $5.21 | 0.01% | $988.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.36% | +0.45% | |
| Q1 | $5.21 | -0.69% | $959.64 | 7 | no | yes | -6.40% | -2.68% | |
| Q4 | $5.10 | -0.48% | $1,035.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +2.79% | |
| Q3 | $5.10 | 0.75% | $866.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.47% | +3.85% | |
| Q2 | $5.10 | -1.39% | $778.53 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.37% | -0.53% | |
| Q1 | $5.10 | -0.13% | $826.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.13% | +0.50% | |
| Q4 | $5.00 | 0.03% | $754.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.60% | +3.20% | |
| Q3 | $5.00 | -1.66% | $694.18 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.05% | +2.54% | |
| Q2 | $5.00 | -0.86% | $684.92 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.76% | +1.83% | |
| Q1 | $5.00 | -0.99% | $695.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.82% | -9.27% | |
| Q4 | $4.88 | -0.78% | $712.76 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.05% | +2.28% | |
| Q3 | $4.88 | 0.14% | $658.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.41% | -1.26% | |
| Q2 | $4.88 | -1.89% | $686.49 | 2 | yes | yes | -16.15% | -9.31% | |
| Q1 | $4.88 | -2.13% | $737.71 | 10 | no | yes | -10.51% | -6.21% | |
| Q4 | $4.13 | 0.18% | $899.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.02% | +2.47% | |
| Q3 | $4.13 | -0.63% | $950.67 | >30 | no | no | -8.61% | -3.19% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with BLK's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical BLK ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.57%
Win rate (20 trades)
80%
Cumulative P&L
-11.49%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+15.30%
Best event
+1.48%
Worst event
-10.16%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · BLK (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -3.19% | |
| +0.46% | |
| -6.21% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.49% | |
| -2.68% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.48% | |
| -10.16% | |
| +1.48% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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