Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.29), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, BNY sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 27, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.63.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.29
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.29 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.68% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 75% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.25% | +2.14pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
- 30-day touch rate100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)0.29in line with sector
- Avg gap on ex-date-0.68%in line with sector
- Win rate at MOC exit75%—
- Median drawdown during hold-2.25%+2.14pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)1 / 9—
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.63
Per-event yield
0.47%
Annualized yield
1.41%
Previously paid
Apr 27, 2026 ($0.53)
Last record date
Apr 27, 2026
Last payment date
May 8, 2026
BNY Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Bank of New York Mellon (BNY). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.53 | -0.53% | $134.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.90% | -1.22% | |
| Q1 | $0.53 | -0.86% | $120.18 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.35% | +0.22% | |
| Q4 | $0.53 | 0.17% | $107.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.60% | +0.56% | |
| Q3 | $0.53 | -0.53% | $99.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.57% | +0.37% | |
| Q2 | $0.47 | -1.24% | $76.34 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.65% | +3.98% | |
| Q1 | $0.47 | -0.69% | $85.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.38% | -0.15% | |
| Q4 | $0.47 | -0.61% | $76.67 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.14% | +0.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.47 | -0.53% | $62.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.97% | +3.78% | |
| Q2 | $0.42 | -1.12% | $57.95 | 9 | no | yes | -3.23% | -1.60% | |
| Q1 | $0.42 | -0.20% | $54.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.66% | +2.03% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | -0.98% | $41.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.98% | +6.71% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -0.66% | $45.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.65% | +0.79% | |
| Q2 | $0.37 | -0.19% | $41.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.86% | -3.21% | |
| Q1 | $0.37 | -0.27% | $48.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.98% | +3.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.37 | -0.43% | $41.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.63% | +1.95% | |
| Q3 | $0.37 | -0.78% | $43.48 | 6 | no | yes | -3.54% | +0.80% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | -1.78% | $43.26 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.44% | +4.35% | |
| Q1 | $0.34 | -0.87% | $58.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.35% | +6.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.34 | -0.45% | $59.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.15% | -0.47% | |
| Q3 | $0.34 | -0.94% | $49.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.08% | +3.30% |
- -1.22%
- +0.22%
- +0.56%
- +0.37%
- +3.98%
- -0.15%
- +0.40%
- +3.78%
- -1.60%
- +2.03%
- +6.71%
- +0.79%
- -3.21%
- +3.09%
- +1.95%
- +0.80%
- +4.35%
- +6.48%
- -0.47%
- +3.30%
BNY Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
- ≤ 1 day1470%
- 2–3 days210%
- 4–5 days210%
- 6–10 days210%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+00%
BNY Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with BNY's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $126.00
- After-tax dividend
- $81.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$26.81
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$55.09
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.21%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~10.4%
BNY Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical BNY ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.57%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+11.43%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+186.15%
Best event
+1.00%
Worst event
-1.60%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · BNY (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.68% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +0.77% | |
| -1.60% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.40% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.