Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CAH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$188.27
Method range
$188.27 – $273.96
median $253.38
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $188.27 | -8.48% |
| Exit multiple | $273.96 | +33.18% |
| Analyst target | $253.38 | +23.17% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$188.27
- Exit multiple$273.96
- Analyst target$253.38
- Graham number—
Stock price
$205.71
FCF / share (TTM)
$7.14
3Y FCF CAGR
2.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$155.44
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
6.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -32.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
2.6%
Your model implies
6.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 3% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | -0.5% | -2.2% | -4.4% |
| 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$5.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.54
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Cardinal Health (CAH) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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