Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$4,708.46
Method range
$157.28 – $4,708.46
median $324.53
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $4,708.46 | +1,343.12% |
| Exit multiple | $304.73 | -6.60% |
| Analyst target | $344.33 | +5.54% |
| Graham number | $157.28 | -51.79% |
- Forward DCF$4,708.46
- Exit multiple$304.73
- Analyst target$344.33
- Graham number$157.28
Stock price
$326.27
FCF / share (TTM)
$10.00
3Y FCF CAGR
9.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$439.38
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
6.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 25.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
9.9%
Your model implies
6.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 10% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | -0.1% | -2.1% | -4.6% |
| 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | -0.4% |
| 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% |
| 8.8% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$15.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.44
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Chubb (CB) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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