CDW (CDW) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.13), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CDW sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 22, 2026 (±3 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.13in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.13 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.28% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.50% | +1.12pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 5 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±3 days.
| Dividend | $0.63 |
| Per-event yield | 0.50% |
| Annualized yield | 2.27% |
| Previously paid | Feb 25, 2026 ($0.63) |
| Last record date | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 10, 2026 |
CDW Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for CDW (CDW). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.63 | -0.13% | $125.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.80% | -0.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | 1.37% | $141.92 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.01% | +1.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.63 | -0.56% | $167.00 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.08% | -2.46% | |
| Q2 | $0.63 | -2.66% | $183.38 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.66% | -4.36% | |
| Q1 | $0.63 | -0.78% | $186.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.63% | -7.90% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | 1.11% | $178.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.89% | +0.72% | |
| Q3 | $0.62 | -0.06% | $229.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.85% | -4.98% | |
| Q2 | $0.62 | 0.41% | $236.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.17% | -5.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.62 | -0.21% | $247.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +0.15% | |
| Q4 | $0.62 | 0.03% | $216.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.94% | -2.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.59 | 0.18% | $204.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.81% | +3.37% | |
| Q2 | $0.59 | -0.20% | $170.20 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +2.16% | |
| Q1 | $0.59 | 0.89% | $203.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.69% | -0.92% | |
| Q4 | $0.59 | -0.08% | $188.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.28% | +1.75% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -0.28% | $184.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.59% | -7.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | -0.87% | $161.25 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.18% | +6.49% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | -3.00% | $169.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.66% | +3.40% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.45% | $196.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.86% | -5.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -0.08% | $196.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.26% | +2.09% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | 0.69% | $168.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.33% | -2.26% |
- -0.02%
- +1.68%
- -2.46%
- -4.36%
- -7.90%
- +0.72%
- -4.98%
- -5.09%
- +0.15%
- -2.46%
- +3.37%
- +2.16%
- -0.92%
- +1.75%
- -7.39%
- +6.49%
- +3.40%
- -5.55%
- +2.09%
- -2.26%
CDW Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
CDW Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with CDW's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $126.00
- After-tax dividend
- $81.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$25.11
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$56.79
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.23%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~11.4%
CDW Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical CDW ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CDW (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.24% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.50% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.