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Fair Value for Constellation Energy (CEG)

See growth priced into Constellation Energy (CEG): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what CEG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$1,325.28

Margin of safety
+79.26% vs current price $274.90

Method range

$98.17 $1,325.28

median $300.26

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$1,325.28
  • Exit multiple$247.96
  • Analyst target$352.57
  • Graham number$98.17

Stock price

$274.90

EPS (TTM)

$11.51

5Y EPS CAGR

32.6%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$1,325.28

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

10.7%

per year over your projection horizon

Discount vs DCF

Margin of safety 79.3% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

32.6%

Your model implies

10.7%

Next-year analyst consensus

2.0%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)10.3%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
8.3%7.7%7.0%6.3%5.6%4.7%
9.3%9.8%9.2%8.6%7.9%7.2%
10.3%11.7%11.2%10.7%10.1%9.5%
11.3%13.5%13.1%12.6%12.1%11.6%
12.3%15.3%14.9%14.5%14.0%13.6%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday47.7· at high
5Y low12.2
Median23.3
5Y high47.7
P/SToday4.3· at high
5Y low0.7
Median1.5
5Y high4.3
EV/EBITDAToday23.1· at high
5Y low5.6
Median11.0
5Y high23.1

PEG

0.07

Low vs growth

Net debt

$5.24B

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.12

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: -0.63 to 11.90 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions