Colgate-Palmolive (CL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.39), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CL sits roughly in line with the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 20, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.53.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.39in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.39 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.41% | +0.23pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 80% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.48% | +0.64pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 7 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.53 |
| Per-event yield | 0.62% |
| Annualized yield | 2.35% |
| Previously paid | Apr 20, 2026 ($0.53) |
| Last record date | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Last payment date | May 15, 2026 |
CL Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Colgate-Palmolive (CL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.53 | -1.39% | $85.81 | 7 | no | yes | -4.68% | -1.29% | |
| Q1 | $0.52 | -0.88% | $85.44 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.90% | +0.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.52 | -0.09% | $78.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.46% | +0.56% | |
| Q3 | $0.52 | -0.62% | $87.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.25% | +1.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.52 | -0.11% | $93.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.91% | +1.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | -0.18% | $88.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.79% | +1.88% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.80% | $100.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.84% | -4.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | 0.53% | $98.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.14% | +1.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | -0.70% | $86.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.92% | +5.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.48 | -0.74% | $80.83 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.41% | +3.07% | |
| Q4 | $0.48 | -0.01% | $73.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.35% | -1.26% | |
| Q3 | $0.48 | -0.63% | $76.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.49% | +1.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.48 | -0.32% | $75.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.48% | +3.73% | |
| Q1 | $0.47 | -0.60% | $75.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.66% | -4.18% | |
| Q4 | $0.47 | -0.68% | $71.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.17% | +2.72% | |
| Q3 | $0.47 | -0.52% | $77.53 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.02% | +2.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.47 | -0.46% | $80.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.29% | +0.68% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | 0.38% | $83.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.44% | +0.25% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -0.28% | $74.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.78% | +2.10% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.18% | $83.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.34% | +0.51% |
- -1.29%
- +0.09%
- +0.56%
- +1.39%
- +1.01%
- +1.88%
- -4.40%
- +1.40%
- +5.54%
- +3.07%
- -1.26%
- +1.53%
- +3.73%
- -4.18%
- +2.72%
- +2.19%
- +0.68%
- +0.25%
- +2.10%
- +0.51%
CL Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
CL Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with CL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $106.00
- After-tax dividend
- $68.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$17.16
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$51.74
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.30%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~15.2%
CL Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical CL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.54% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.61% | |
| -1.29% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.