Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CNC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
—
Method range
$55.39 – $60.01
median $58.62
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | — | — |
| Exit multiple | $60.01 | -3.73% |
| Analyst target | $58.62 | -5.95% |
| Graham number | $55.39 | -11.13% |
- Forward DCF—
- Exit multiple$60.01
- Analyst target$58.62
- Graham number$55.39
Stock price
$62.33
FCF / share (TTM)
$6.91
3Y FCF CAGR
12.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$189.88
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
-3.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 67.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.1%
Your model implies
-3.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 12% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 6.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | -5.8% | -6.4% | -6.9% | -7.5% | -8.2% |
| 9.0% | -4.1% | -4.6% | -5.0% | -5.5% | -6.1% |
| 10.0% | -2.5% | -2.9% | -3.3% | -3.7% | -4.2% |
| 11.0% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -1.7% | -2.1% | -2.5% |
| 12.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -0.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$889M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.09
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Centene (CNC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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