Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what COHR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$14.53
Method range
$14.53 – $349.50
median $127.51
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $14.53 | -95.35% |
| Exit multiple | $211.43 | -32.28% |
| Analyst target | $349.50 | +11.95% |
| Graham number | $43.60 | -86.04% |
- Forward DCF$14.53
- Exit multiple$211.43
- Analyst target$349.50
- Graham number$43.60
Stock price
$312.19
EPS (TTM)
$2.09
5Y EPS CAGR
-0.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$14.53
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
47.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2,049.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-0.4%
Your model implies
47.2%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 300% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.9% | 43.9% | 43.3% | 42.8% | 42.2% | 41.6% |
| 13.9% | 46.1% | 45.6% | 45.0% | 44.5% | 43.9% |
| 14.9% | 48.2% | 47.7% | 47.2% | 46.7% | 46.2% |
| 15.0% | 48.5% | 48.0% | 47.5% | 47.1% | 46.5% |
| 15.0% | 48.5% | 48.0% | 47.5% | 47.1% | 46.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
3.66
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$2.98B
Total debt − cash
Beta
2.04
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Coherent (COHR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.25% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.32% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History4 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.