Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CWT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$41.02
Method range
$6.75 – $81.17
median $47.51
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $41.02 | -19.62% |
| Exit multiple | $81.17 | +59.07% |
| Analyst target | $54.00 | +5.82% |
| Graham number | $6.75 | -86.77% |
- Forward DCF$41.02
- Exit multiple$81.17
- Analyst target$54.00
- Graham number$6.75
Stock price
$51.03
EPS (TTM)
$2.00
5Y EPS CAGR
1.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$41.02
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
4.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -24.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
1.8%
Your model implies
4.5%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 27.2% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.2% | 0.7% | -0.6% | -2.0% | -3.7% | -5.9% |
| 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | -1.2% |
| 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.56B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.51
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
California Water Service Group (CWT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.04% TTM
- Dividend Profile2.49% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History4 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.