Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CWT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$42.22
Method range
$6.75 – $82.78
median $48.11
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $42.22 | -7.87% |
| Exit multiple | $82.78 | +80.66% |
| Analyst target | $54.00 | +17.85% |
| Graham number | $6.75 | -85.27% |
- Forward DCF$42.22
- Exit multiple$82.78
- Analyst target$54.00
- Graham number$6.75
Stock price
$45.82
EPS (TTM)
$2.00
5Y EPS CAGR
1.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$42.22
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
2.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -8.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
1.8%
Your model implies
2.8%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 29.3% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.1% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -3.8% | -5.6% | -7.9% |
| 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | -0.2% | -1.4% | -2.9% |
| 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.50
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
California Water Service Group (CWT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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